Go to ValuEngine.com

October 24, 2014


The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from ValuEngine.com. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a free trial at www.valuengine.com!

If the tables, charts, or other content in this email version of the newsletter do not display properly, please download the HTML version from ValuEngine.com HERE  or the PDF version from SCRIBD.com HERE

If you no longer wish to receive this free newsletter,
CLICK HERE to unsubscribe

Our Valuation WARNING is OFF: Valuation is now well within "normal" range. Overvalued stocks now make up 52.21% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 15.09% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Ten sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

 

ValuEngine Index Overview

Index
Week Open
Friday PM
Change
% Change
YTD
DJIA
16373.15
16773.3
400.15
2.44%
-1.21%
NASDAQ
4254.16
4472.16
218
5.12%
2.62%
RUSSELL 2000
1078.68
1113.66
34.98
3.24%
-6.14%
S&P 500
1885.62
1961.26
75.64
4.01%
2.45%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
47.79%
Stocks Overvalued
52.21%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
17.29%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
15.09%

 

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Consumer Staples
0.54%
0.57%
0.41%
5.57% overvalued
4.31%
22.81
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
1.36%
-1.22%
-1.54%
4.49% overvalued
-1.17%
20.91
Medical
1.26%
1.27%
10.07%
3.95% overvalued
11.69%
29.47
Retail-Wholesale
1.29%
0.74%
-6.02%
3.80% overvalued
-4.51%
23.33
Utilities
0.74%
0.60%
5.87%
3.55% overvalued
3.11%
21.00
Finance
0.51%
0.34%
2.13%
3.48% overvalued
2.28%
17.22
Consumer Discretionary
0.81%
-0.50%
-5.26%
3.48% overvalued
-2.28%
26.69
Transportation
1.46%
-0.41%
4.94%
2.97% overvalued
9.24%
18.82
Aerospace
1.45%
-2.64%
-3.74%
1.69% overvalued
10.54%
20.34
Computer and Technology
1.31%
-3.06%
-0.54%
0.28% overvalued
-0.93%
29.92
Business Services
0.93%
1.00%
-0.93%
0.57% undervalued
1.75%
24.06
Industrial Products
1.07%
-0.82%
-4.82%
3.28% undervalued
-0.56%
21.66
Auto-Tires-Trucks
1.15%
-3.17%
-4.54%
4.61% undervalued
-6.32%
15.53
Construction
0.62%
0.65%
-3.39%
7.44% undervalued
-1.75%
23.57
Basic Materials
0.56%
-3.24%
-3.79%
11.14% undervalued
-10.68%
24.52
Oils-Energy
1.21%
-8.60%
4.83%
11.17% undervalued
-10.07%
23.30

 

ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results

VE Newsletter
Current Results
S&P 500
Last Month Total
S&P 500
Since Inception
S&P 500
-2.26
1.98
4.46
-5.36
105.54
88.57
2.32
-2.18
-4.71
-0.18
22.73
25.67
-5.93
-4.19
-2.36
1.25
21.99
38.95
-0.78
-0.73
-6.26
-2.89
114.77
71.42

ValuEngine's Newsletters Beat the Market

With our Investment Newsletters, Subscribers Harness the Power of all of ValuEngine.com's Extensively Tracked and Tested Portfolio Strategies in an Easy to Follow Format. 

Let ValuEngine Optimize your Portfolio and Provide Rational Advice for Smarter Investing

 Click HERE to Check Out ValuEngine's Investment Newsletters

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

3M Company (MMM) is a diversified technology company with leading positions in consumer and office; display and graphics; electronics and telecommunications; health care; industrial; safety, security and protection services; transportation and other businesses. They are an integrated enterprise characterized by substantial intercompany cooperation in research, manufacturing and marketing of products.

3M is another earnings week success story. The company posted excellent numbers yesterday and provided a nice beat with Q3 profits up almost six percent. CEO Inge Thulin noted that much of the good news was based on US sales, where a strong economy helped product lines related to auto, aircraft, and electronic manufacturing. She also noted a boost from the sale of the company's protective dust and respiratory masks.

Despite the good news, ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on 3M CO for 2014-10-23. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that 3M CO has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio. Of course, as analysts update their earnings estimates to reflect the latest news, this rating could change.

Below is today's data on MMM:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
144.64 -0.28%
3-Month
144.09 -0.66%
6-Month
144.13 -0.64%
1-Year
140.10 -3.42%
2-Year
157.53 8.60%
3-Year
117.49 -19.00%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
17.21% overvalued Valuation Rank(?)
19
1-M Forecast Return
-0.28% 1-M Forecast Return Rank
29
12-M Return
17.74% Momentum Rank(?)
78
Sharpe Ratio
0.76 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
89
5-Y Avg Annual Return
13.04% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
77
Volatility
17.24% Volatility Rank(?)
87
Expected EPS Growth
9.07% EPS Growth Rank(?)
32
Market Cap (billions)
94.90 Size Rank
100
Trailing P/E Ratio
19.92 Trailing P/E Rank(?)
57
Forward P/E Ratio
18.27 Forward P/E Ratio Rank
33
PEG Ratio
2.20 PEG Ratio Rank
15
Price/Sales
3.02 Price/Sales Rank(?)
31
Market/Book
10.76 Market/Book Rank(?)
11
Beta
1.11 Beta Rank
46
Alpha
-0.01 Alpha Rank
65

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on 3M HERE.


Sector Talk--Construction

  Below, we present the latest data on Construction stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI).    Top five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Please Click Here to Download a FREE Demo of ValuEngine's Professional VEI Software Package.

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
MHO
M/I HOMES INC
21.92
-34.04
8.25
EME
EMCOR GROUP INC
41.9
-17.21
5.07
WLH
WILLIAM LYON HM
24.1
N/A
1.73
CBI
CHICAGO BRIDGE
51.28
-35.77
-30.31
PWR
QUANTA SERVICES
32.47
-12.56
11.27

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
MHO
M/I HOMES INC
21.92
-34.04
8.25
EME
EMCOR GROUP INC
41.9
-17.21
5.07
WLH
WILLIAM LYON HM
24.1
N/A
1.73
CBI
CHICAGO BRIDGE
51.28
-35.77
-30.31
PWR
QUANTA SERVICES
32.47
-12.56
11.27

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
DHI
D R HORTON INC
22.94
-3.13
17.82
PWR
QUANTA SERVICES
32.47
-12.56
11.27
LEN
LENNAR CORP -A
43.31
-5.32
18.5
MHO
M/I HOMES INC
21.92
-34.04
8.25
EME
EMCOR GROUP INC
41.9
-17.21
5.07

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP
13.41
99.64
265.4
AYI
ACUITY BRANDS
133.54
26.72
29.02
URS
URS CORP
54.2
24.57
-0.37
NCS
NCI BLDG SYSTEM
19.26
23.24
36.31
ACM
AECOM TECH CORP
31.97
14.28
-0.71

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know,
ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools.

If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning stock valuation and forecast service 
NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!
To Sign Up for a FREE TRIAL, Please Click HERE
 

What's Hot
-- VE Dividend Strategy Posts Positive Gains Despite Roiled Markets

We still find a positive economic environment for equities within the United States. However, concern over a global economic slow down combined with overblown concerns about Ebola and ISIS within the US-- and efforts by some politicians and media figures dissatisfied with the Obama Administration to stoke those fears amongst investors prior to the US mid-term elections-- is not helping equities. As the latest results for our VE Dividend Stock Newsletter Portfolio show, we definitely saw a move into larger cap/defensive stocks over the past few weeks.

For September/October, we saw the return of volatility and a roller coaster market. Our portfolio however, performed admirably well as investor rediscovered the strength and safety of large-cap/dividend paying stocks. We handily beat the S&P 500s loss of 2.18% by a significant margin and posted a gain of 2.32%. That's a nice spread of 450 bps. The LTM return of our portfolio is 10.39% vs the S&P 500 LTM return of 11.18%. Since inception, the return for the VE Dividend Stock Newsletter is 22.73% versus the S&P's gain of 25.67%.

We had a 66% hit rate for the month with losers—with the exception of Potash Saskatchewan-- posting declines of less than 5%. Our winners also posted fairly modest gains, with only Alexandria Real Estate breaking into double-digit territory. Still, it was nice to see some good news amidst the carnage that occurred around the middle of the rebalance period.

Here are the latest VE Dividend Stock Newsletter Portfolio Results:


Ticker  Company Name  Entry Price 9/23/14 Exit Price Change %Change
ARE ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE 73.66 82.52 8.86 12.03
BGS B&G FOODS CL-A 27.95 27.94 -0.01 -0.04
BMR BIOMED REALTY TRUST 20.33 21.85 1.52 7.48
BRC BRADY CORPORATION 22.56 22.01 -0.55 -2.44
CBL CBL&ASSOCIATES PROPERTIES 17.95 18.71 0.76 4.23
CMO CAPSTEAD MORTGAGE 12.55 12.82 0.27 2.15
MAA MID-AMERICAN APT CM 65.72 70.07 4.35 6.62
MFA MFA FINANCIAL 7.88 8.31 0.43 5.46
PCG PG&E CORP 44.73 46.19 1.46 3.26
POT POTASH SASKATCHEWAN 34.52 32.54 -1.98 -5.74
PSEC PROSPECT CAPITAL 9.98 9.64 -0.34 -3.41
SRC SPIRIT REALTY TRUST 10.97 11.64 0.67 6.11
STWD STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST 22.3 22.36 0.06 0.27
TWO TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT 9.95 10.11 0.16 1.61
VZ VERIZON COMMUNCIATIONS 49.62 48.22 -1.4 -2.82
  LONG PORTFOLIO       2.32
GSPC S&P500 1994.29 1950.82 -43.47 -2.18

Want To Know More About Our Dividend Stock Newsletter?

The ValuEngine Dividend Stock Newsletter features 15 primary stock selection and five alternate stock picks derived from our award-winning stock forecast model. Stocks selected are the top forecast dividend-paying stocks for the next thirty days. Equities selected will pay dividends during the re-balance period which over time can help to boost portfolio performance.

Why Dividend Stocks? Dividend stocks allow investors to build a portfolio with large, stable, and profitable companies. The VE Dividend Stock Newsletter is designed to provide investors with satisfactory returns, low volatility, low trading costs, and the relative security of large cap stock investing along with the performance boost provided by capturing monthly, quarterly, and annual dividends.

Each month you will receive an electronic copy of our newsletter highlighting 15 potential long positions along with five alternate picks. Our investment strategies focus on dozens of fundamental and technical factors for over 8000 individual stocks, synthesize the data, and then come up with a portfolio. Each newsletter portfolio focuses on maximum potential returns so there are no diversity requirements. Each portfolio pick includes critical ValuEngine valuation and forecast data. These 20 total picks represent the most up-to-date equity assessments of our proprietary models.

Please click HERE to subscribe. After your subscription is approved, you will immediately receive access to download the current issue of newsletter as well as the previous issues, which are all available as PDF files. Each month when the latest issue of the newsletter is released, we will send you an email, informing you to download it from the site. The newsletter is released near the middle of each month, and each issue will inform you of the next publication date.

If you no longer wish to receive this free newsletter, CLICK HERE to unsubscribe

 An archive of this weekly newsletter is available here.

 
 
Close this window
ValuEngine.com - Rational advice, smarter investing.