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January 8, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 43.48% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 11.6% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Eleven sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with one at double digits.

Gold Rush?
--Sibanye ADR Up 25% for Forecast MNS Newsletter

Sibanye Gold Limited (SBGL) is a gold mining company. It operates two gold mines: the Kloof Driefontein Complex (KDC) and the Beatrix gold mines. Sibanye Gold Limited is based in Houghton, South Africa.

The stock was the Basic Materials Sector selection for our Forecast 16 Market Neutral Strategy Newsletter this month. Since our rebalance, the company has seen a bounce in share price and is now up a bit more than 25% as investors seeking safety from the latest market volatility have piled into gold stocks. However, it remains to be seen if this boost for gold will last. Typically, in times of US dollar ascendency the metal is not a good performer.

ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on SIBANYE GOLD ADR for 2015-01-07. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that SIBANYE GOLD ADR has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and P/E Ratio.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Sibanye Gold ADR HERE.

Below is today's data on SBGL:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
8.83 1.67%
3-Month
9.08 4.64%
6-Month
9.53 9.76%
1-Year
10.42 20.06%
2-Year
10.94 26.09%
3-Year
5.28 -39.16%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
n/a
Valuation Rank(?)
n/a
1-M Forecast Return
1.67%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
100
12-M Return
79.71%
Momentum Rank(?)
97
Sharpe Ratio
n/a
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
n/a
5-Y Avg Annual Return
n/a
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
n/a
Volatility
n/a
Volatility Rank(?)
n/a
Expected EPS Growth
88.04%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
83
Market Cap (billions)
1.95
Size Rank
74
Trailing P/E Ratio
7.99
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
96
Forward P/E Ratio
4.25
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
98
PEG Ratio
0.09
PEG Ratio Rank
85
Price/Sales
n/a
Price/Sales Rank(?)
n/a
Market/Book
1.53
Market/Book Rank(?)
62
Beta
n/a
Beta Rank
n/a
Alpha
n/a
Alpha Rank
n/a

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
56.52%
Stocks Overvalued
43.48%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
22.61%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
11.6%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
-0.68%
-2.48%
-2.48%
11.99% overvalued
-0.94%
20.63
-1.45%
-2.50%
-2.50%
7.94% overvalued
-0.44%
26.59
-0.82%
-0.90%
-0.90%
7.31% overvalued
9.16%
30.33
-0.84%
-2.61%
-2.61%
5.33% overvalued
2.94%
24.69
-1.51%
-2.77%
-1.47%
3.94% overvalued
-1.56%
30.66
-1.22%
-3.00%
-3.00%
3.43% overvalued
1.67%
20.48
-1.61%
-3.45%
-3.45%
3.17% overvalued
7.80%
20.91
-1.16%
-2.75%
-2.75%
2.80% overvalued
-2.88%
27.24
-1.02%
-1.70%
-1.70%
1.21% overvalued
2.84%
17.65
-1.37%
-2.95%
-2.95%
0.36% overvalued
-0.51%
24.81
-1.40%
-3.29%
-3.29%
2.71% undervalued
3.95%
19.64
-1.89%
-3.32%
-3.32%
5.50% undervalued
-6.25%
19.87
-0.65%
-3.02%
-3.02%
6.05% undervalued
-3.63%
15.50
-0.99%
-2.90%
-2.90%
6.52% undervalued
-1.83%
26.28
-0.17%
-0.55%
-0.57%
12.21% undervalued
-13.20%
23.26
-2.33%
-4.60%
-4.60%
23.76% undervalued
-27.32%
19.25

 

 

 

 

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