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January 16, 2015


The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from ValuEngine.com. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a free trial at www.valuengine.com!

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Valuation Watch: Overvalued stocks now make up 40.44% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 11.91% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Eight sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with two at or near double digits.

ValuEngine Index Overview

Index
Week Open
Friday PM
Change
% Change
YTD
DJIA
17742.05
17353.3
-388.75
-2.19%
-2.64%
NASDAQ
4714.07
4591.88
-122.19
-2.59%
-2.85%
RUSSELL 2000
1186.94
1166.68
-20.26
-1.71%
-3.16%
S&P 500
2046.13
2002.17
-43.96
-2.15%
-2.76%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
59.56%
Stocks Overvalued
40.44%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
25.33%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
11.91%

 

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Aerospace
-0.14%
-2.12%
-2.12%
10.87% overvalued
-2.67%
20.29
Medical
-1.32%
0.07%
0.07%
9.06% overvalued
3.12%
29.99
Retail-Wholesale
-2.25%
-3.06%
-3.06%
8.28% overvalued
2.31%
26.67
Consumer Staples
-0.45%
-1.49%
-1.49%
5.08% overvalued
2.76%
24.76
Utilities
-0.62%
-2.70%
-2.70%
3.20% overvalued
7.96%
22.05
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
-1.29%
-2.02%
-2.02%
2.07% overvalued
2.15%
20.53
Computer and Technology
-1.32%
-3.36%
-2.06%
1.81% overvalued
-3.44%
30.44
Consumer Discretionary
-1.06%
-3.40%
-3.40%
1.05% overvalued
-5.10%
26.51
Finance
-0.58%
-2.92%
-2.92%
1.47% undervalued
1.71%
17.53
Business Services
-0.97%
-3.24%
-3.24%
1.48% undervalued
-0.22%
24.77
Transportation
-0.73%
-3.68%
-3.68%
5.79% undervalued
1.06%
19.54
Industrial Products
-1.31%
-4.48%
-4.48%
9.40% undervalued
-10.29%
19.45
Auto-Tires-Trucks
-1.42%
-4.33%
-4.33%
9.69% undervalued
-6.09%
14.93
Construction
-2.09%
-4.64%
-4.64%
9.80% undervalued
-4.14%
24.09
Basic Materials
0.04%
-1.87%
-1.89%
14.34% undervalued
-16.00%
22.35
Oils-Energy
-1.55%
-8.70%
-8.70%
26.79% undervalued
-31.63%
18.49

 

ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results

VE Newsletter
Current Results
Benchmark*
Last Month Total
Benchmark*
Since Inception
Benchmark*
8.21 1.95 -9.59 -1.14 65.71 23.24
-5.25 -3.79 -1.11 1.11 19.44 34.67
-3.52 -3.24 -3.90 1.31 -7.32 6.79
0.36 -0.08 -5.22 -1.75 113.35 77.75

*NOTE: Benchmark for Forecast MNS for last month and inception is the MLSAX Long/Short Fund. Benchmark for Small Cap for last month and inception is the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (RUT). Benchmark for current month Forecast MNS and all other portfolios for all timeframes is the S&P500.

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Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Google Inc. (GOOGL) is a technology company that provides a web based search engine through its website. The Company offers a wide range of search options, including web, image, groups, directory, and news searches. It serves corporate clients, including advertisers, content publishers and site managers with cost-effective advertising and a wide range of revenue generating search services. Google Inc. is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on GOOGLE INC-CL A for 2015-01-15. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that GOOGLE INC-CL A has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Price Sales Ratio.

Below is today's data on Google:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
502.14 -0.37%
3-Month
498.64 -1.07%
6-Month
491.04 -2.57%
1-Year
481.59 -4.45%
2-Year
490.14 -2.75%
3-Year
518.57 2.89%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
4.02% overvalued Valuation Rank(?)
34
1-M Forecast Return
-0.37% 1-M Forecast Return Rank
24
12-M Return
-12.24% Momentum Rank(?)
40
Sharpe Ratio
0.42 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
73
5-Y Avg Annual Return
10.75% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
71
Volatility
25.77% Volatility Rank(?)
70
Expected EPS Growth
14.14% EPS Growth Rank(?)
46
Market Cap (billions)
340.91 Size Rank
100
Trailing P/E Ratio
23.76 Trailing P/E Rank(?)
47
Forward P/E Ratio
20.82 Forward P/E Ratio Rank
26
PEG Ratio
1.68 PEG Ratio Rank
25
Price/Sales
5.26 Price/Sales Rank(?)
17
Market/Book
4.34 Market/Book Rank(?)
28
Beta
1.14 Beta Rank
44
Alpha
-0.18 Alpha Rank
38

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Google HERE.


Sector Talk--Basic Materials

  Below, we present the latest data on Basic Materials stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI).    Top five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Please Click Here to Download a FREE Demo of ValuEngine's Professional VEI Software Package.

Top-Five Basic Materials Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
GPRE GREEN PLAINS 20.5 -43.02 2.86
SBGL SIBANYE GLD-ADR 10.05     N/A 93.64
NSU NEVSUN RESOURCS 3.5 -22.11 -5.91
HCLP HI-CRUSH PTNRS 33.26     N/A -3.03
RIC RICHMONT MINES 3.37     N/A 163.28

Top-Five Basic Materials Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
GPRE GREEN PLAINS 20.5 -43.02 2.86
SBGL SIBANYE GLD-ADR 10.05     N/A 93.64
NSU NEVSUN RESOURCS 3.5 -22.11 -5.91
HCLP HI-CRUSH PTNRS 33.26     N/A -3.03
RIC RICHMONT MINES 3.37     N/A 163.28

Top-Five Basic Materials Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
GPRE GREEN PLAINS 20.5 -43.02 2.86
LYB LYONDELLBASEL-A 75.27 -24.99 -9.04
AA ALCOA INC 14.97 -8.61 41.36
CE CELANESE CP-A 55.69 -15.96 -0.16
WLK WESTLAKE CHEM 55.2 -27.47 -11.07

Top-Five Basic Materials Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation(%)
Last 12-M Retn(%)
IAG IAMGOLD CORP 3.01 300 -21
BVN BUENAVENTUR-ADR 10.91 48.7 -9.01
CF CF INDUS HLDGS 288.74 45.71 16.23
IPHS INNOPHOS HLDGS 59.59 35.15 20.26
SIAL SIGMA ALDRICH 137 33.55 47.34

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Want To Know More About Our ValuEngine View Newsletter?

Looking for a monthly portfolio of stock picks which are objective and based on cutting-edge academic theory and Wall St.practice? Then subscribe to The ValuEngine View Newsletter.The ValuEngine View Portfolio is based on our highly-refined and tested ValuEngine Portfolio Strategies along with our proprietary quant-based composite scoring system. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of sophisticated stock valuation and forecast models first developed by Yale Professor of Finance Zhiwu Chen.

The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

Each month you will receive an electronic copy of our newsletter highlighting 15 potential long positions along with five alternate picks. Our investment strategies focus on dozens of fundamental and technical factors for over 8000 individual stocks, synthesize the data, and then come up with a portfolio. Each newsletter portfolio focuses on maximum potential returns so there are no diversity requirements. Each portfolio pick includes critical ValuEngine valuation and forecast data. These 20 total picks represent the most up-to-date equity assessments of our proprietary models.

Please click HERE to subscribe. You may download a sample copy HERE. After your subscription is approved, you will immediately receive access to download the current issue of newsletter as well as the previous issues, which are all available as PDF files. Each month when the latest issue of the newsletter is released, we will send you an email, informing you to download it from the site. The newsletter is released near the middle of each month.

 

  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

CLICK HERE to Subscribe to the ValuEngine View

The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

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