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March 17, 2015

ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 57% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 20% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Twelve sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with three at or near double digits.


--Green and In the Green

Argentine Bank ADR BBVA Banco Frances Up Big on Political News

BBVA Banco Frances del Rio de la Plata S.A. (BFR) is a full-service banker for large corporations, middle market businesses and individuals. The Company operates approximately 74 branches in Argentina, 8 branches in Uruguay and a subsidiary bank in the Cayman Islands.

BFR was a selection for our ValuEngine Forecast 16 MNS Newsletter this month and it is up @25% since our latest 0.78rebalance--while the SP 500 Index is down @1%. We have had a BUY on this company for quite some time--check the chart below for the green areas. Our models made another savvy pick with this company. Other analysts have followed suit, with the company receiving several upgrades. Argentine stocks have been on a tear recently due to a recently announced alliance between some of the nation's more "market friendly" political parties.

Keep in mind that ValuEngine ranks and rates @7000 US and Canadian companies as well as @1000 foreign stocks and ADRs that trade on US exchanges. Subscriber get access to our entire stock universe.

ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on BBVA Banco Frances for 2015-03-16. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that BBVA Banco Frances has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and P/E Ratio.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on BBVA Banco Frances HERE.

Below is today's data on BFR:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
 21.54 0.54%
3-Month
 22.16 3.46%
6-Month
 22.15 3.40%
1-Year
 22.80 6.45%
2-Year
 28.10 31.18%
3-Year
 11.33 -47.09%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
100.78% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
 2
1-M Forecast Return
0.54%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
 86
12-M Return
193.83%
Momentum Rank(?)
 99
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
 72
5-Y Avg Annual Return
20.40%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
 89
Volatility
52.88%
Volatility Rank(?)
 36
Expected EPS Growth
8.72%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
 40
Market Cap (billions)
3.83
Size Rank
 81
Trailing P/E Ratio
12.85
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
 84
Forward P/E Ratio
11.82
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
 79
PEG Ratio
1.47
PEG Ratio Rank
 35
Price/Sales
1.79
Price/Sales Rank(?)
 49
Market/Book
3.38
Market/Book Rank(?)
 36
Beta
1.92
Beta Rank
 15
Alpha
0.64
Alpha Rank
 98

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

Each month you will receive an electronic copy of our newsletter highlighting 15 potential long positions along with five alternate picks. Our investment strategies focus on dozens of fundamental and technical factors for over 8000 individual stocks, synthesize the data, and then come up with a portfolio. Each newsletter portfolio focuses on maximum potential returns so there are no diversity requirements. Each portfolio pick includes critical ValuEngine valuation and forecast data. These 20 total picks represent the most up-to-date equity assessments of our proprietary models.

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
 24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
 22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
 1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
 1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
 -34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
42.64%
Stocks Overvalued
57.36%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
15.74%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
20.14%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.68%
1.33%
10.14%
17.60% overvalued
3.93%
32.58
1.04%
-0.40%
7.51%
16.45% overvalued
3.22%
21.92
0.03%
-1.17%
-0.56%
9.56% overvalued
4.91%
25.79
0.27%
-0.92%
3.41%
8.45% overvalued
-2.24%
31.59
0.68%
-1.35%
1.63%
7.43% overvalued
5.15%
23.42
0.01%
-1.04%
1.97%
7.24% overvalued
-3.62%
27.39
0.38%
-3.00%
1.39%
7.11% overvalued
5.88%
18.33
0.78%
-1.23%
2.73%
6.82% overvalued
-1.03%
25.73
0.45%
0.47%
1.22%
4.18% overvalued
1.89%
17.94
0.33%
-2.34%
-1.74%
2.76% overvalued
2.91%
22.19
-0.12%
-2.14%
4.34%
1.24% overvalued
-2.81%
16.08
-0.22%
-2.41%
-1.02%
0.23% overvalued
-10.37%
19.66
0.31%
-1.45%
-0.02%
4.14% undervalued
1.91%
20.96
-0.80%
-2.71%
-2.20%
5.41% undervalued
-3.31%
24.46
-1.21%
-8.08%
-5.27%
7.54% undervalued
-34.66%
21.18
-0.11%
-5.05%
-2.17%
8.75% undervalued
-27.04%
24.47

 

 

 

 

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