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March 24, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 58.52% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.16% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Twelve sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with four at or near double digits.


--Is It Magic?

Mortgage Insurer MGIC Investments Upgraded from Buy to Strong Buy by ValuEngine

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is a holding company which, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is the leading provider of private mortgage insurance coverage in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry. Private mortgage insurance covers residential first mortgage loans and expands home ownership opportunities by enabling people to purchase homes with less than 20% down payments. If the home owner defaults, private mortgage insurance reduces and, in some instances, eliminates the loss to the insured institution.

ValuEngine updated its recommendation from BUY to STRONG BUY for MGIC Investment Corp on 2015-03-23. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that MGIC Investment Corp has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Company Size.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on MGIC Investment Corporation HERE.

Below is today's data on MTG:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
10.02 1.12%
3-Month
10.19 2.86%
6-Month
10.58 6.80%
1-Year
11.24 13.43%
2-Year
10.71 8.05%
3-Year
8.47 -14.54%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
8.23% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
74
1-M Forecast Return
1.12%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
99
12-M Return
18.68%
Momentum Rank(?)
78
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
50
5-Y Avg Annual Return
3.51%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
55
Volatility
74.87%
Volatility Rank(?)
23
Expected EPS Growth
36.32%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
71
Market Cap (billions)
3.36
Size Rank
79
Trailing P/E Ratio
14.02
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
81
Forward P/E Ratio
10.29
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
87
PEG Ratio
0.39
PEG Ratio Rank
70
Price/Sales
3.56
Price/Sales Rank(?)
28
Market/Book
3.24
Market/Book Rank(?)
38
Beta
3.50
Beta Rank
2
Alpha
-0.41
Alpha Rank
22

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
41.48%
Stocks Overvalued
58.52%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
14.8%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
21.16%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.23%
3.35%
12.47%
18.95% overvalued
2.96%
32.77
0.14%
1.03%
9.35%
17.75% overvalued
0.86%
23.94
0.76%
0.94%
1.51%
10.36% overvalued
5.52%
26.12
0.29%
1.04%
5.30%
9.33% overvalued
-1.84%
31.51
0.35%
-1.51%
2.79%
8.62% overvalued
4.87%
18.74
0.45%
0.66%
3.67%
8.60% overvalued
5.96%
24.38
0.09%
0.22%
3.27%
8.05% overvalued
-2.47%
28.03
0.53%
1.12%
4.85%
7.81% overvalued
0.73%
26.20
0.17%
1.76%
2.52%
4.69% overvalued
3.20%
18.26
0.47%
0.32%
0.86%
4.46% overvalued
5.53%
22.99
-0.04%
-1.81%
4.66%
1.48% overvalued
-3.02%
16.46
0.25%
-0.52%
0.76%
0.72% overvalued
-9.08%
20.25
0.02%
-0.13%
1.27%
2.72% undervalued
4.13%
21.69
0.55%
0.10%
0.28%
4.83% undervalued
-2.89%
24.34
0.74%
-4.59%
-1.43%
6.41% undervalued
-34.72%
21.78
1.27%
-2.98%
-0.21%
7.58% undervalued
-24.69%
24.76

 

 

 

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