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April 16, 2015

ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 59.96% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.68% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Thirteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with four at or near double digits.


--Heavy Metal

US Steel Jumps 23% for ValuEngine Newsletter

United States Steel (X) manufactures and sells a variety of steel mill products, coke and taconite pellets. Primary steel operations are the Gary (Indiana) Works, the Fairfield (Alabama) Works near Birmingham, the Mon Valley Works ( which includes the Edgar Thomson steelmaking and Irvin finishing operations) on the Monongahela River near Pittsburgh, and U. S. Steel Kosice in the Slovak Republic.

United States Steel is currently leading our ValuEngine Market Neutral portfolio for the latest rebalance period with a gain of 23%. However, the company is nowhere near the levels we saw just last Summer. This is a paradoxical case where bad news for company workers is often looked at positively by investors. US Steel started a round of lay offs recently by idling its Lorain, Ohio plant as well as cutting workers in Pittsburgh and elsewhere. These layoffs, called "temporary" by the firm, came about as competition from South Korea and failing energy prices lowered demand for its tubular steel products. US Steel was riding the fracking and drilling boom in the US and off-shore.


Tubular Steel from Lorain, Ohio

ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on United States Steel for 2015-04-15. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that United States Steel has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Price Sales Ratio.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on United States Steel HERE.

Below is today's data on X:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
 27.60 1.01%
3-Month
 27.98 2.39%
6-Month
 28.83 5.48%
1-Year
 30.63 12.07%
2-Year
 27.05 -1.02%
3-Year
 26.99 -1.25%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
1.50% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
 65
1-M Forecast Return
1.01%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
 98
12-M Return
0.85%
Momentum Rank(?)
 51
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
 21
5-Y Avg Annual Return
-19.14%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
 24
Volatility
42.71%
Volatility Rank(?)
 41
Expected EPS Growth
-71.62%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
 6
Market Cap (billions)
3.98
Size Rank
 81
Trailing P/E Ratio
6.25
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
 99
Forward P/E Ratio
22.04
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
 31
PEG Ratio
n/a
PEG Ratio Rank
 n/a
Price/Sales
0.23
Price/Sales Rank(?)
 93
Market/Book
1.11
Market/Book Rank(?)
 76
Beta
1.72
Beta Rank
 18
Alpha
-0.29
Alpha Rank
 29

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
 24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
 22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
 1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
 1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
 -34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
40.04%
Stocks Overvalued
59.96%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
12.85%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
21.68%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.45%
-0.11%
8.95%
17.67% overvalued
4.11%
22.57
0.17%
2.61%
14.55%
15.97% overvalued
17.81%
34.00
-0.12%
1.63%
3.30%
11.11% overvalued
12.06%
26.40
-0.14%
1.68%
3.78%
9.05% overvalued
3.07%
22.74
0.78%
2.69%
6.53%
8.64% overvalued
6.10%
31.57
0.28%
2.82%
6.35%
8.00% overvalued
1.72%
28.60
0.29%
2.11%
4.49%
7.97% overvalued
8.53%
24.57
0.50%
1.81%
8.23%
6.31% overvalued
8.60%
26.59
2.46%
10.84%
6.10%
4.65% overvalued
-31.10%
23.77
0.42%
3.93%
3.12%
4.27% overvalued
3.23%
24.62
0.33%
1.76%
3.57%
2.73% overvalued
5.22%
18.18
0.48%
2.57%
7.39%
2.17% overvalued
0.44%
18.06
0.66%
3.02%
3.27%
2.06% overvalued
-4.93%
20.76
2.06%
4.05%
4.11%
0.18% undervalued
2.48%
25.17
0.71%
3.85%
3.69%
4.29% undervalued
6.54%
21.50
1.09%
3.16%
1.38%
4.80% undervalued
-21.37%
25.75

 

 

 

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