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April 20, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 55.96% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 18.77% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Fourteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with six at or near double digits.


--WINNING

Wall Street Giant Morgan Stanley Posts Strong Results

MORGAN STANLEY (MS) is a preeminent global financial services firm that maintains leading market positions in each of its three primary businesses: securities; asset management; and credit services. The company combines global strength in investment banking and institutional sales and trading with strength in providing full-service and on-line brokerage services, investment and global asset management services and, primarily through its Discover Card brand, quality consumer credit products.

Morgan Stanley posted a nice beat today, with a profit of $0.85/share. That was $0.07/share higher than consensus estimates. Net revenues were $9.9 billion for the first quarter compared with $9.0 billion a year ago. For the current quarter, income from continuing operations applicable to Morgan Stanley was $2.4 billion, or $1.18 per diluted share, compared with income of $1.5 billion, or $0.74 per diluted share, 8 for the same period a year ago. Results for the current quarter included a net discrete tax benefit of $564 million or $0.29 per diluted share primarily associated with the repatriation of non-U.S. earnings at a lower cost than originally estimated.

Revenues were the highest in almost eight years, and were second highest in company history. Trading revenues were strong, up 26% year-over-year. CEO James Gorman said that performance was strong in most areas at the firm. The company seems to be doing well despite various fines and settlements related to pre-financial crisis mortgage shenanigans.

ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on MORGAN STANLEY for 2015-04-17. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that MORGAN STANLEY has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and P/E Ratio.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Morgan Stanley HERE.

Below is today's data on MS:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
37.07 0.87%
3-Month
37.37 1.68%
6-Month
38.27 4.14%
1-Year
40.60 10.49%
2-Year
39.84 8.42%
3-Year
31.24 -14.99%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
1.52% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
52
1-M Forecast Return
0.87%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
95
12-M Return
19.47%
Momentum Rank(?)
78
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
52
5-Y Avg Annual Return
3.95%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
55
Volatility
36.17%
Volatility Rank(?)
50
Expected EPS Growth
18.82%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
57
Market Cap (billions)
71.93
Size Rank
99
Trailing P/E Ratio
14.41
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
80
Forward P/E Ratio
12.13
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
79
PEG Ratio
0.77
PEG Ratio Rank
54
Price/Sales
2.10
Price/Sales Rank(?)
45
Market/Book
1.15
Market/Book Rank(?)
74
Beta
2.17
Beta Rank
9
Alpha
-0.08
Alpha Rank
52

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
44.04%
Stocks Overvalued
55.96%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
13.74%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
18.77%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
-0.85%
-1.22%
8.40%
17.43% overvalued
2.50%
25.54
-1.16%
1.67%
13.54%
16.60% overvalued
15.96%
33.89
-1.27%
0.78%
2.32%
11.65% overvalued
11.23%
25.93
-1.21%
1.36%
5.20%
9.86% overvalued
5.73%
31.62
-1.09%
0.53%
2.59%
9.28% overvalued
2.40%
22.80
-0.89%
1.72%
5.18%
9.09% overvalued
1.44%
28.38
-1.05%
9.78%
5.23%
8.27% overvalued
-31.41%
24.43
-1.07%
1.09%
3.49%
8.18% overvalued
9.30%
24.77
-1.53%
-0.09%
6.23%
6.51% overvalued
6.03%
26.59
-1.24%
2.66%
1.82%
4.38% overvalued
2.35%
24.78
-0.91%
0.92%
2.70%
3.28% overvalued
5.03%
18.12
-0.67%
2.34%
2.52%
3.11% overvalued
-4.72%
20.92
-1.25%
1.45%
6.19%
2.73% overvalued
0.01%
18.15
-0.96%
1.55%
3.15%
0.33% overvalued
2.10%
24.98
-0.69%
3.20%
3.09%
3.65% undervalued
6.13%
21.48
-0.86%
2.07%
0.35%
3.86% undervalued
-19.97%
26.32

 

 

 

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