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May 4, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 59.86% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 22.46% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Fifteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with six at or near double digits.


--May the Fourth Be With You

Disney Coverage in Honor of StarWars and The Avengers

The Walt Disney Company (DIS), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise with five business segments: media networks, parks and resorts, studio entertainment, consumer products and interactive media.

May 4th is known among sci-fi cognoscenti as Star Wars Day "May the Fourth Be With You." Fans world-wide use the day to celebrate all things George Lucas and Star Wars. This is a good "holiday" for Disney as well. The studio is finding new-found power in the market place by virtue of its control of the upcoming new Star Wars releases as well as its traditional stronghold with animated children's films such as "Frozen" and "Cinderella." In addition, the studio has content like the massively popular "Avengers" series--which blew out the box office this weekend with sales in excess of $185 million. As today's Wall Street Journal notes, Disney and other studios use their most powerful box office draws to garner more favorable terms from theaters and boost their bottom line.

Our models have not been enamored of Disney lately, if you look below you will find that we have had the stock rated a "HOLD" for most of the past two years. However, this may change as analysts update their consensus in light of anticipated blockbusters such as the next Star Wars sequel and other new content. The company reports Q2 2015 results TOMORROW at 8am EST. Those results may also result in some changes for our models.

ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on Walt Disney Company for 2015-05-01. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Walt Disney Company has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on the Walt Disney Company HERE.

Below is today's data on DIS :


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
110.73 0.19%
3-Month
110.38 -0.12%
6-Month
110.48 -0.04%
1-Year
113.02 2.27%
2-Year
124.80 12.92%
3-Year
81.77 -26.01%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
9.28% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
41
1-M Forecast Return
0.19%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
66
12-M Return
39.30%
Momentum Rank(?)
89
Sharpe Ratio
1.13
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
95
5-Y Avg Annual Return
22.00%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
89
Volatility
19.47%
Volatility Rank(?)
81
Expected EPS Growth
15.55%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
52
Market Cap (billions)
187.33
Size Rank
100
Trailing P/E Ratio
24.04
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
50
Forward P/E Ratio
20.81
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
33
PEG Ratio
1.55
PEG Ratio Rank
32
Price/Sales
3.75
Price/Sales Rank(?)
26
Market/Book
14.90
Market/Book Rank(?)
9
Beta
1.17
Beta Rank
39
Alpha
0.15
Alpha Rank
84

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
24.78% 14.56%
Ann Volatility
22.28% 12.35%
Sharpe Ratio
1.11 1.18
Sortino Ratio
1.88 1.53
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
40.14%
Stocks Overvalued
59.86%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
12.74%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
22.64%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.26%
0.29%
5.65%
16.67% overvalued
-1.01%
22.52
-0.00%
0.07%
7.04%
14.56% overvalued
-31.81%
25.05
0.42%
0.50%
10.59%
12.55% overvalued
10.53%
31.77
0.64%
0.75%
1.60%
10.26% overvalued
8.12%
25.47
0.91%
1.33%
5.20%
9.78% overvalued
5.12%
30.12
0.90%
1.01%
6.28%
9.45% overvalued
1.50%
28.27
0.01%
0.03%
3.66%
8.21% overvalued
0.74%
22.52
0.65%
0.69%
2.90%
7.74% overvalued
5.65%
24.46
0.51%
0.59%
6.40%
7.43% overvalued
3.40%
26.08
0.57%
0.62%
2.85%
5.83% overvalued
1.83%
22.83
0.47%
0.52%
2.46%
4.43% overvalued
-4.27%
20.68
0.17%
0.26%
4.95%
4.15% overvalued
-1.69%
17.54
0.25%
0.29%
3.90%
3.74% overvalued
4.33%
17.35
0.79%
0.90%
3.75%
0.72% overvalued
-18.29%
24.94
0.56%
0.60%
1.85%
0.30% undervalued
0.37%
23.62
0.74%
0.82%
3.56%
1.04% undervalued
7.90%
20.09

 

 

 

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