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June 23, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
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VALUATION WARNING: Overvalued stocks now make up 66.3% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 29.23% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  ALL sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with nine at or near double digits.


--"Tanks" Again

Strength of TeeKay Tankers and Four Double-Digit Gainers Lead VE View Newsletter

For May/June, the stock market flirted with some new intraday highs on good news from the Fed. Our ValuEngine View responded in kind for a nice beat. Our gain of 3.55% beat the S&P loss of 0.14% by 341 bps. The trailing 12 month gain of the VE View is 6.13% versus the S&P 500 return of 9.31%. The return since inception of the View is 133.12% versus the S&P's gain of 87.46%.

We had eleven of fifteen winners this month with five positions turning in double-digit gains. Losses were more modest, and thus we were able to turn in another good performance. TeeKay Tankers had yet another great month and led our results with a 12.94% gain. Newlink Genetics trailed slightly with 12.47%, and Lannett, Tower Semiconductor, and Gilead followed up with additional double-digit gains.

Markets have jumped hard lately on a variety of good news for equities. The NASDAQ has reached a level not seen since the dotcom boom of 2000 and both the S&P 500 and the Dow have also jumped up once more. The latest leg up has caused yet another valuation warning because at these levels our models find that more than 66% of the stocks we can assign a valuation are calculated to be overvalued.

Below are the latest results from our VE View Newsletter:

 Ticker 
Company Name 
Entry Price
5/21/15
Current Price
Change
%Change
AMCX
AMC NETWORKS- A
77.15
82.02
4.87
6.31
AUO
AU OPTRONICS-ADR
5.23
4.77
-0.46
-8.80
FE
FIRSTENERGY CORP
35.83
33.69
-2.14
-5.97
FLWS
1800FLOWERS.COM
9.74
10.39
0.65
6.67
GILD
GILEAD SCIENCES
109.77
121.49
11.72
10.67
LABL
MULTI-COLOR
65.43
60.76
-4.67
-7.14
LCI
LANNETT INC
55.38
61.58
6.20
11.20
LNC
LINCOLN NATIONAL INSURANCE
59.23
61.01
1.78
3.01
LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES
37.11
34.79
-2.32
-6.26
NLNK
NEWLINK GENETICS CORPORATION
41.46
46.63
5.17
12.47
SMCI
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER
33.04
33.31
0.27
0.82
STRZA
STARZ-LIBERTY CAPITAL
41.00
43.43
2.43
5.93
TNK
TEEKAY TANKERS
6.80
7.68
0.88
12.94
TSEM
TOWER SEMICONDUCTOR LIMITED
15.33
17.00
1.67
10.89
UAL
UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS
54.54
54.80
0.26
0.48
LONG PORTFOLIO
3.55
GSPC
S&P500
2125.85
2122.85
-3.00
-0.14

 

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on TeeKay Tankers HERE.

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) is a Marshall Islands corporation recently formed by Teekay Corporation to provide international marine transportation of crude oil. Teekay Tankers Ltd. owns a fleet of nine double-hull Aframax-class oil tankers, which an affiliate of Teekay Corporation manages under a mix of spot-market trading and short- or medium-term fixed-rate time-charter contracts. In addition, Teekay Corporation will offer to Teekay Tankers Ltd. within eighteen months of the initial public offering the opportunity to purchase up to four Suezmax-class oil tankers. Teekay Tankers Ltd. intends to distribute on a quarterly basis all of its cash available for distribution, subject to any reserves established by its board of directors.

TeeKay has been a favorite of several of our newsletter strategies for most of 2015 and subscribers have benefitted from the stock's continuing rise. Our VE Small Cap Portfolio included the stock in January and February and then again from April until now. Our VE Forecast Market Neutral Portfolio picked the stock for the March, April, and May editions as did our VE View Newsletter.

As we noted when we first discussed this company back in April, Teekay is positioned well within the industry. It focuses on very large crude vessles and "Suezmax" class carriers. The bigger ships are preferred to older ships-- and it can be tough to purchase used ships suitable for the business. This is because with falling or uncertain market conditions, there is a higher demand for onboard storage of crude as speculators wait for more favorable prices.


One of TeeKay's Massive Oil Tankers

ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on TEEKAY TANKERS for 2015-06-22. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that TEEKAY TANKERS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and P/E Ratio.

Below is today's data on TNK:


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
7.81 1.69%
3-Month
7.68 -0.05%
6-Month
7.75 0.92%
1-Year
9.25 20.50%
2-Year
6.94 -9.66%
3-Year
4.07 -47.00%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
34.09% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
93
1-M Forecast Return
1.69%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
100
12-M Return
112.15%
Momentum Rank(?)
98
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
31
5-Y Avg Annual Return
-9.68%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
29
Volatility
50.02%
Volatility Rank(?)
33
Expected EPS Growth
30.04%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
68
Market Cap (billions)
0.55
Size Rank
57
Trailing P/E Ratio
9.89
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
94
Forward P/E Ratio
7.60
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
95
PEG Ratio
0.33
PEG Ratio Rank
73
Price/Sales
1.97
Price/Sales Rank(?)
48
Market/Book
1.08
Market/Book Rank(?)
76
Beta
2.40
Beta Rank
8
Alpha
0.40
Alpha Rank
93

Want To Know More About Our ValuEngine View Newsletter?

Looking for a monthly portfolio of stock picks which are objective and based on cutting-edge academic theory and Wall St.practice? Then subscribe to The ValuEngine View Newsletter.The ValuEngine View Portfolio is based on our highly-refined and tested ValuEngine Portfolio Strategies along with our proprietary quant-based composite scoring system. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of sophisticated stock valuation and forecast models first developed by Yale Professor of Finance Zhiwu Chen.

The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

Each month you will receive an electronic copy of our newsletter highlighting 15 potential long positions along with five alternate picks. Our investment strategies focus on dozens of fundamental and technical factors for over 8000 individual stocks, synthesize the data, and then come up with a portfolio. Each newsletter portfolio focuses on maximum potential returns so there are no diversity requirements. Each portfolio pick includes critical ValuEngine valuation and forecast data. These 20 total picks represent the most up-to-date equity assessments of our proprietary models.

Please click HERE to subscribe. You may download a sample copy HERE. After your subscription is approved, you will immediately receive access to download the current issue of newsletter as well as the previous issues, which are all available as PDF files. Each month when the latest issue of the newsletter is released, we will send you an email, informing you to download it from the site. The newsletter is released near the middle of each month.

 

  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
19.75% 14.13%
Ann Volatility
21.06% 11.13%
Sharpe Ratio
0.94 1.27
Sortino Ratio
1.55 1.56
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

CLICK HERE to Subscribe to the ValuEngine View

The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
33.7%
Stocks Overvalued
66.3%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
12.62%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
29.23%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.73%
3.71%
17.05%
26.93% overvalued
19.68%
31.07
0.60%
2.36%
7.43%
20.86% overvalued
-4.14%
22.70
0.41%
1.08%
8.41%
17.27% overvalued
7.70%
30.79
0.47%
2.40%
6.50%
16.13% overvalued
4.22%
25.62
0.19%
2.27%
6.53%
14.78% overvalued
3.75%
24.82
0.09%
1.43%
10.35%
14.55% overvalued
0.93%
28.03
0.45%
0.99%
2.52%
14.51% overvalued
8.73%
26.32
0.65%
-0.50%
3.11%
13.68% overvalued
0.77%
22.87
0.44%
1.74%
4.97%
9.34% overvalued
3.54%
17.88
0.36%
-1.94%
-0.97%
6.84% overvalued
-34.53%
24.30
0.64%
-0.64%
4.07%
5.98% overvalued
-4.64%
16.91
0.39%
0.72%
4.61%
5.55% overvalued
-4.59%
20.63
0.58%
-0.08%
1.15%
5.35% overvalued
1.79%
18.61
1.04%
-0.54%
1.64%
4.08% overvalued
-4.78%
21.93
0.68%
0.94%
3.01%
4.01% overvalued
1.11%
24.86
-0.23%
-1.54%
0.50%
2.01% overvalued
-14.95%
24.44

 

 

 

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