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July 1, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 59.95% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 24.4% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Fifteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--eight by double digits.


--Keep CALM

ValuEngine Upgrades Cal-Maine Foods To STRONG BUY

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. is engaged in the production, cleaning, grading, and packaging of fresh shell eggs for sale to shell egg retailers. The company is the one of the largest producers and distributors of fresh shell eggs in the United States. The company markets its eggs primarily in the southwestern, southeastern, mid-western and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States.

When we query our systems for the top STRONG BUY upgrades today, CALM Brands leads the results. Members can always screen for these stocks using our advanced screening page HERE or our 5-Engine Stock page HERE.

CALM has been upgraded by several analysts lately, and over the past three months is up @35%. Shares have declined on the latest market sell off, and it may be a good time to pick them up relatively cheaper on that dip. Typical price targets are in the $60-$65 range/share.

Why the bullishness? Cal-Maine is the largest producer of shell eggs in the US. Thus, they are uniquely positioned to make huge profits from the bird flu crisis. The disease has killed off a huge portion of egg-laying hens in the US and prices for eggs have spiked in response. Market data indicates that eggs in some markets cost @60-100% more than they did just a few months ago. This is good news for suppliers like Cal-Maine as the tight supply should lead to huge profits.

Of course, Cal-Maine must be able to find eggs to sell. High profits will depend on live birds laying "golden" eggs. But if this issue can be managed, experts estimate it could be good times for a while to come as the shock of the bird flu epidemic may take 12-24 months to work its way through the supply chain.

Below is today's more extensive data on CALM:

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine updated its recommendation from BUY to STRONG BUY for CAL-MAINE FOODS on 2015-06-30. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that CAL-MAINE FOODS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and Sharpe Ratio.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
52.83 1.20%
3-Month
51.87 -0.63%
6-Month
52.03 -0.32%
1-Year
59.73 14.42%
2-Year
48.15 -7.76%
3-Year
30.53 -41.51%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
24.17% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
88
1-M Forecast Return
1.20%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
99
12-M Return
49.66%
Momentum Rank(?)
92
Sharpe Ratio
0.95
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
91
5-Y Avg Annual Return
25.07%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
92
Volatility
26.45%
Volatility Rank(?)
66
Expected EPS Growth
131.64%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
91
Market Cap (billions)
2.53
Size Rank
76
Trailing P/E Ratio
14.75
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
78
Forward P/E Ratio
6.37
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
97
PEG Ratio
0.11
PEG Ratio Rank
86
Price/Sales
1.63
Price/Sales Rank(?)
53
Market/Book
3.97
Market/Book Rank(?)
32
Beta
0.69
Beta Rank
65
Alpha
0.42
Alpha Rank
94

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on CALM HERE.

 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
19.75% 14.13%
Ann Volatility
21.06% 11.13%
Sharpe Ratio
0.94 1.27
Sortino Ratio
1.55 1.56
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
40.05%
Stocks Overvalued
59.95%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
14.61%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
24.4%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
-2.28%
0.94%
14.09%
21.84% overvalued
16.55%
30.83
-1.79%
-0.07%
4.97%
17.60% overvalued
-6.23%
22.01
-2.36%
-0.21%
3.84%
13.18% overvalued
1.30%
25.41
-2.40%
-1.14%
0.23%
12.01% overvalued
6.80%
26.33
-2.33%
-3.25%
4.50%
11.72% overvalued
3.55%
29.54
-2.18%
-1.00%
7.89%
11.03% overvalued
-1.67%
27.03
-2.14%
-1.17%
2.67%
10.17% overvalued
0.80%
23.97
-1.86%
-2.05%
1.00%
10.11% overvalued
-0.24%
22.76
-1.90%
-0.39%
2.85%
6.55% overvalued
1.84%
17.55
-2.07%
-1.41%
2.34%
3.22% overvalued
-7.15%
20.26
-2.40%
-5.34%
-4.25%
2.48% overvalued
-37.00%
23.80
-3.03%
-4.05%
0.22%
2.25% overvalued
-7.26%
16.36
-2.32%
-0.99%
1.32%
1.22% overvalued
-0.50%
24.38
-2.05%
-3.77%
-2.59%
1.13% overvalued
-1.87%
17.94
-1.48%
-2.57%
-0.50%
0.62% overvalued
-7.20%
21.18
-2.00%
-4.05%
-2.18%
1.32% undervalued
-18.91%
24.02

 

 

 

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