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August 4, 2015


ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should download ValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VE’s powerful quantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 48.67% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 17.08% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  Nine sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with two at or near double digits.


--A Yen for Profit...

ValuEngine STRONG BUY Toyota Impresses with Earnings

Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) produces, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, boats, airplanes and other products in Japan and most foreign countries. The Company is also involved in the businesses of real estate, civil engineering, insurance,etc.

Toyota posted US sales figures this week and the numbers were rather flat with a 0.6% increase overall led by the ever-popular--and reliable--Camry model. The Tacoma and Tundra pick ups were also good sellers for the company--up more than 15%.

Overall, the company is posting stronger earnings numbers thanks to a weaker yen and strong overseas sales. That blip in exchange rates helped boost the company to an increased profit rather than a decline. The company possesses stronger margins than its rivals and some good benefits from plants located within Japan. The question mark for Toyota--and all auto makers, remains China. That market is now in a position to make or break all of the manufacturers. It is too early to tell how a slowdown there will effect the bottom line.

ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on TOYOTA MOTOR CP for 2015-08-03. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that TOYOTA MOTOR CP has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and P/E Ratio.

Below is today's more extensive data on TM:

 


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
134.46 0.96%
3-Month
136.52 2.51%
6-Month
139.60 4.82%
1-Year
148.48 11.49%
2-Year
144.45 8.46%
3-Year
123.17 -7.51%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
3.15% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
43
1-M Forecast Return
0.96%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
97
12-M Return
12.75%
Momentum Rank(?)
73
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
85
5-Y Avg Annual Return
12.84%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
79
Volatility
18.91%
Volatility Rank(?)
76
Expected EPS Growth
18.40%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
56
Market Cap (billions)
209.46
Size Rank
100
Trailing P/E Ratio
11.56
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
87
Forward P/E Ratio
9.76
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
85
PEG Ratio
0.63
PEG Ratio Rank
55
Price/Sales
0.85
Price/Sales Rank(?)
71
Market/Book
1.30
Market/Book Rank(?)
67
Beta
0.63
Beta Rank
61
Alpha
0.07
Alpha Rank
76

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on TM HERE.

 

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Looking for a monthly portfolio of stock picks which are objective and based on cutting-edge academic theory and Wall St.practice? Then subscribe to The ValuEngine View Newsletter.The ValuEngine View Portfolio is based on our highly-refined and tested ValuEngine Portfolio Strategies along with our proprietary quant-based composite scoring system. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of sophisticated stock valuation and forecast models first developed by Yale Professor of Finance Zhiwu Chen.

The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models

Each month you will receive an electronic copy of our newsletter highlighting 15 potential long positions along with five alternate picks. Our investment strategies focus on dozens of fundamental and technical factors for over 8000 individual stocks, synthesize the data, and then come up with a portfolio. Each newsletter portfolio focuses on maximum potential returns so there are no diversity requirements. Each portfolio pick includes critical ValuEngine valuation and forecast data. These 20 total picks represent the most up-to-date equity assessments of our proprietary models.

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  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years
VE View
S&P 500
Ann Return
19.75% 14.13%
Ann Volatility
21.06% 11.13%
Sharpe Ratio
0.94 1.27
Sortino Ratio
1.55 1.56
Max Drawdown
-34.94% -11.14%

  The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how. 

CLICK HERE to Subscribe to the ValuEngine View

The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
51.33%
Stocks Overvalued
48.67%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
21.39%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
17.08%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
-1.30%
-1.00%
13.63%
14.44% overvalued
19.20%
31.24
-0.86%
-0.63%
-0.79%
10.43% overvalued
-1.09%
19.80
-2.06%
-1.63%
-0.49%
7.82% overvalued
2.59%
22.92
-2.74%
-2.21%
1.07%
6.46% overvalued
0.68%
24.59
-1.69%
-1.36%
6.06%
4.35% overvalued
1.20%
28.07
-3.61%
-2.86%
-3.84%
3.72% overvalued
8.30%
26.09
-1.48%
-1.12%
0.83%
2.72% overvalued
0.72%
17.41
-2.34%
-1.95%
-1.79%
1.67% overvalued
0.34%
29.38
-3.19%
-2.60%
-3.36%
0.10% overvalued
-6.17%
21.49
-0.72%
-0.46%
-4.55%
1.78% undervalued
-4.77%
21.89
-1.92%
-1.52%
-4.18%
2.92% undervalued
-4.49%
17.64
-1.12%
-0.95%
-2.38%
5.23% undervalued
-6.65%
14.91
-3.01%
-2.37%
-0.74%
5.59% undervalued
2.25%
22.67
-3.67%
-2.92%
-4.83%
7.05% undervalued
-7.10%
19.49
-5.51%
-4.63%
-16.26%
14.57% undervalued
-44.87%
23.74
-7.24%
-5.73%
-17.17%
19.99% undervalued
-33.44%
20.57

 

 

 

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