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August 16, 2016


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 48.99% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 15.84% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Ten sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

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Far From Groovin'

More Bad News For Volkswagen

VOLKSWAGEN-ADR (VLKAY) is the largest automobile manufacturer in Europe. Their activities focus on the automotive market and they offer products and services along the entire automotive value chain. With nine independent brands, they are able to offer a unique range of models from the extremely efficient 3-litre car to the great sporting tradition of Bentley. While each of the brands has a distinct personality, it also benefits from its membership of the Volkswagen Group with its global manufacturing base.

The company was on a tear, expanding, gaining market share, and then their own engineering short cuts and perfidy caught up with them when it was revealed that their high-performance/economy diesel vehicles were frauds. These increasingly-popular models were equipped with software from the factory specifically designed to perform one way during emissions tests and quite another on the road.

The so-called "clean" diesels from VW were a scam. Once the tricks were discovered, it became clear that they did not meet regulatory emissions standards and that the company faced huge problems with civil and criminal liability.

The company already agreed to civil settlements with consumers that were estimated to cost the firm @$15 billion.
It is now revealed that the US Justice Department and Volkswagen are engaged in settlement talks in order to proceed on the additional criminal charges which might be filed. Those talks may result in yet another huge settlement for the car maker.

The difficulty here is that VW is a foreign firm, and if the US DOJ decided to proceed with criminal charges--rather than the settlement--employees would have to be extradited from Germany. Of course, when it comes to big companies, the DOJ is often reticent to prosecute firms-indeed, they often (as in the case of big banks) refuse to even require an admission of guilt before the settlement agreements are implemented.

In any case, no matter the outcome with this latest round of settlement talks, VW has been severely wounded by the entire emission-cheating incident. Sales are down, consumers disgusted, reputations destroyed. Our models have fully digested the falling earnings, and have re-calculated the factors upon which our ratings are based. We find little in the underlying financial data that looks attractive moving forward.

ValuEngine continues its SELL recommendation on VOLKSWAGEN-ADR for 2016-08-15. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that VOLKSWAGEN-ADR has the probability to UNDERPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits UNATTRACTIVE Momentum and P/E Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Volkswagen from the link below.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
16.97 1.23%
3-Month
16.91 0.92%
6-Month
16.75 -0.04%
1-Year
19.24 14.77%
2-Year
13.99 -16.55%
3-Year
10.31 -38.47%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
24.10% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
82
1-M Forecast Return
1.23%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
100
12-M Return
25.54%
Momentum Rank(?)
84
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
35
5-Y Avg Annual Return
-10.65%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
35
Volatility
41.23%
Volatility Rank(?)
44
Expected EPS Growth
11.96%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
46
Market Cap (billions)
4.08
Size Rank
82
Trailing P/E Ratio
15.42
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
75
Forward P/E Ratio
13.78
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
64
PEG Ratio
1.29
PEG Ratio Rank
36
Price/Sales
3.21
Price/Sales Rank(?)
31
Market/Book
0.97
Market/Book Rank(?)
78
Beta
0.73
Beta Rank
59
Alpha
0.16
Alpha Rank
81

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR VOLKSWAGEN (VLKAY) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE

 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
51.01%
Stocks Overvalued
48.99%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
21.05%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
15.84%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.98%
1.24%
53.99%
13.59% overvalued
61.09%
33.47
1.12%
2.63%
10.12%
11.68% overvalued
3.32%
20.67
0.47%
1.36%
10.54%
10.08% overvalued
8.24%
25.16
0.73%
2.41%
15.93%
7.79% overvalued
5.03%
23.27
0.37%
1.73%
-0.88%
3.76% overvalued
-4.14%
19.43
-0.11%
-1.91%
11.68%
3.45% overvalued
9.40%
22.24
1.26%
2.81%
16.98%
2.33% overvalued
-9.79%
24.05
0.64%
2.14%
14.18%
1.95% overvalued
4.44%
29.77
0.51%
1.51%
9.16%
0.13% overvalued
-2.25%
23.84
0.55%
1.85%
6.91%
0.12% overvalued
1.42%
16.36
0.90%
0.86%
30.40%
0.53% undervalued
6.68%
21.37
0.67%
0.54%
11.33%
2.37% undervalued
-18.53%
15.41
0.23%
-0.05%
13.91%
5.43% undervalued
-3.56%
24.79
0.83%
2.25%
2.98%
6.74% undervalued
-4.72%
22.36
1.04%
3.54%
5.48%
7.91% undervalued
-2.28%
16.26
0.45%
-0.16%
1.25%
8.49% undervalued
-15.26%
27.63

 

ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 
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