October 8, 2015

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 41.12% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 12.92% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Two sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

First in Line

Alcoa Kicks Off Earnings Season

Alcoa Inc. (AA) is the world's leading producer and manager of primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum and alumina facilities, and is active in all major aspects of the industry. Alcoa serves the aerospace, automotive, packaging, building and construction, commercial transportation and industrial markets, bringing design, engineering, production and other capabilities of Alcoa's businesses to customers. In addition to aluminum products and components, Alcoa also markets consumer brands including Reynolds Wrap foils and plastic wraps, Alcoa wheels, and Baco household wraps. Among its other businesses are closures, fastening systems, precision castings, and electrical distribution systems for cars and trucks.

Alcoa is traditionally a big earnings report as it comes early in the "season." The firm is viewed as a harbinger for all the major companies reporting after, and right now the company is under a lot of scrutiny as it represents one of the commodities critical to the world economy--and is thus often viewed as a leading indicator.

Unfortunately, Alcoa's report after close today was not quite what analysts were looking for. The firm missed consensus estimates by a wide margin, posting earnings of $109 million--$ 0.07/share. Estimates were for $0.13/share. The company reasserted its view that global demand for aluminum will continue to climb, and is, in fact, ahead of projections, but that didn't help much for Q3 2015 results.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: We have had a hold on this firm since early August, and it will take a few days for our systems to update their calculations and calculate any change in rating. For now. ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on ALCOA INC for 2015-10-07. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that ALCOA INC has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Earnings Growth Rate.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on AA from the link below.

ValuEngine Forecast
	Target Price*	Expected Return
1-Month	10.93	-0.11%
3-Month	11.21	2.44%
6-Month	11.80	7.90%
1-Year	10.79	-1.35%
2-Year	12.97	18.59%
3-Year	16.93	54.73%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation	15.30% overvalued	Valuation Rank(?)	18
1-M Forecast Return	-0.11%	1-M Forecast Return Rank	41
12-M Return	-31.41%	Momentum Rank(?)	25
Sharpe Ratio	-0.16	Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)	44
5-Y Avg Annual Return	-4.52%	5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank	45
Volatility	28.17%	Volatility Rank(?)	60
Expected EPS Growth	-46.32%	EPS Growth Rank(?)	7
Market Cap (billions)	13.31	Size Rank	93
Trailing P/E Ratio	11.52	Trailing P/E Rank(?)	86
Forward P/E Ratio	21.45	Forward P/E Ratio Rank	24
PEG Ratio	n/a	PEG Ratio Rank	n/a
Price/Sales	0.55	Price/Sales Rank(?)	80
Market/Book	1.41	Market/Book Rank(?)	63
Beta	1.48	Beta Rank	24
Alpha	-0.47	Alpha Rank	15

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR ALCOA REPORT BY CLICKING THE REPORT IMAGE --->

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