July 6, 2016

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 33.67% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 11.57% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Three sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

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Hot Flix

Comcast/Netflix Combine Forces

Netflix (NFLX) is the world's leading Internet television network with millions of subscribers in nearly 50 countries who have access to an ever-expanding library of TV shows and movies, including original programming, documentaries and feature films. The company offers the ability to watch as subscribers want, anytime, anywhere, on nearly any Internet-connected screen.

Comcast Corp. (CMCSA), among the world's leading communication companies, provides basic cable, digital cable and high speed internet services that connect people to what's important in their lives. They are in the process of deploying digital video applications and high-speed Internet access service to expand the products available on their cable communications networks.

All those cursed with a coffee table full of TV, cable box, AVR, Apple TV, and DVD player remote controls were awarded a small victory today with the announcement that Comcast Corp. and Netflix have finally reached a deal to include the popular video streaming--and DVD mailing--services content on the cable giant's set-top decoder boxes.

This deal will mean that Comcast subscribers with the latest box, the X1, will be able to access Netflix services without grabbing that other remote, switching an HDMI input, etc. Content from Netflix will be right on the cable guide screen.

This is good news for customers that have not "cut the cable" yet and eliminated Comcast from their media consumption pipeline. With Netflix and Comcast partnering up to push the new X1 boxes, we see a reduction in the hostility of recent years. It was not so long ago that Comcast engaged in speed reductions for Netflix content in an effort to derive more revenue from the services using their bandwidth.

The deal should help Comcast get those X1 boxes out and may reduce the annoyance factor for those seeking any excuse to ditch the provider in lieu of internet-only service. Netflix may see a boost in subscribers, as the service will now be featured on the Comcast boxes. However, as of now analysts don't see a big gain for the Netflix bottom line from this benefit.

Right now our models aren't particularly enamored of either company. We rate both a HOLD. However, that may change if there are big adjustments to earnings estimates as a result of this deal.

Here's our latest data on Netflix:.

ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on NETFLIX INC for 2016-07-05. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that NETFLIX INC has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Earnings Growth Rate but UNATTRACTIVE Volatility.

ValuEngine Forecast
	Target Price*	Expected Return
1-Month	97.75	-0.16%
3-Month	98.95	1.06%
6-Month	102.25	4.43%
1-Year	96.01	-1.94%
2-Year	118.93	21.47%
3-Year	136.17	39.08%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation	48.12% overvalued	Valuation Rank(?)	5
1-M Forecast Return	-0.16%	1-M Forecast Return Rank	37
12-M Return	3.53%	Momentum Rank(?)	70
Sharpe Ratio	0.25	Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)	74
5-Y Avg Annual Return	17.82%	5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank	91
Volatility	70.26%	Volatility Rank(?)	24
Expected EPS Growth	159.09%	EPS Growth Rank(?)	92
Market Cap (billions)	5.92	Size Rank	86
Trailing P/E Ratio	445.05	Trailing P/E Rank(?)	33
Forward P/E Ratio	171.77	Forward P/E Ratio Rank	2
PEG Ratio	2.80	PEG Ratio Rank	14
Price/Sales	0.83	Price/Sales Rank(?)	70
Market/Book	2.55	Market/Book Rank(?)	42
Beta	1.90	Beta Rank	13
Alpha	-0.06	Alpha Rank	50

And here's our latest data on Comcast:

ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on COMCAST CORP A for 2016-07-05. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that COMCAST CORP A has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

ValuEngine Forecast
	Target Price*	Expected Return
1-Month	65.17	0.25%
3-Month	65.96	1.46%
6-Month	67.11	3.24%
1-Year	66.95	2.98%
2-Year	72.04	10.82%
3-Year	75.49	16.11%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation	0.65% overvalued	Valuation Rank(?)	33
1-M Forecast Return	0.25%	1-M Forecast Return Rank	69
12-M Return	4.67%	Momentum Rank(?)	72
Sharpe Ratio	1.05	Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)	97
5-Y Avg Annual Return	18.90%	5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank	92
Volatility	18.07%	Volatility Rank(?)	79
Expected EPS Growth	12.80%	EPS Growth Rank(?)	47
Market Cap (billions)	165.20	Size Rank	100
Trailing P/E Ratio	19.82	Trailing P/E Rank(?)	59
Forward P/E Ratio	17.57	Forward P/E Ratio Rank	40
PEG Ratio	1.55	PEG Ratio Rank	29
Price/Sales	2.19	Price/Sales Rank(?)	41
Market/Book	3.03	Market/Book Rank(?)	37
Beta	1.07	Beta Rank	41
Alpha	0.06	Alpha Rank	75

You can download our detailed valuation and forecast report on either company by clicking on the links below:

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR COMCAST (CMSCA) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR NETFLIX (NFLX) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE

ValuEngine Market Overview

ValuEngine Sector Overview