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June 21, 2017



For today's bulletin, we discuss the US housing market and provide a link to download a FREE STOCK REPORT on M/I Homes $MHO, one of out top-rated stocks in the Construction sector.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 57.07% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.69% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Twelve sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

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--Homes

US Housing Market Heats Up Again

We had some unexpectedly good news on the housing front today with the release of the latest sales figures. For May, sales rose to the third highest level since the 20088 housing crisis and the median price of those homes hit an all-time record.

Analysts had expected a decline for the month, but they missed the mark as home sales increase just more than one percent. At a seasonally-adjusted rate, the US saw the sale of 5.62 million homes in May.

Supply has tightened, and that lower supply in the face of strong demand has caused prices to rise. In addition, mortgage-rates remain relatively low despite the recent Fed tightening.

Below, we present the latest data on Construction stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
MHO
M/I HOMES INC
27.79
10.82%
52.11%
CCS
CENTURY COMMUNT
25
16.44%
40.13%
URI
UTD RENTALS INC
103.91
1.40%
50.92%
TMHC
TAYLOR MORRISON
24.4
24.89%
55.41%
MDC
MDC HLDGS
35.18
15.42%
54.23%

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Momentum

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP
30.6
82.93%
188.41%
STRL
STERLING CONSTR
10.69
31.81%
108.38%
MTZ
MASTEC INC
44.45
8.19%
88.51%
BZH
BEAZER HOMES
13.09
-19.19%
70.22%
THO
THOR INDS INC
105.43
1.25%
63.58%

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
CX
CEMEX SA ADR
9.02
-31.26%
44.10%
URI
UTD RENTALS INC
103.91
1.40%
50.92%
THO
THOR INDS INC
105.43
1.25%
63.58%
PHM
PULTE GROUP ONC
24.23
0.45%
26.93%
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS
39.02
4.48%
40.56%

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP
30.6
82.93%
188.41%
IBP
INSTALLED BUILD
53.8
66.92%
56.08%
STRL
STERLING CONSTR
10.69
31.81%
108.38%
AAON
AAON INC
36.85
26.55%
40.54%
TMHC
TAYLOR MORRISON
24.4
24.89%
55.41%

Our top ranked comnstruction stock today is M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO). M/I Homes is one of the nation's leading builders of single-family homes. Their homes are marketed and sold under the trade names M/I Homes and Showcase Homes. They have homebuilding operations in Columbus and Cincinnati, Ohio; Indianapolis, Indiana; Tampa, Orlando and Palm Beach County, Florida; Charlotte and Raleigh, North Carolina; Virginia and Maryland.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation o nM/I Homes, Inc. for 2017-06-20. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that M/I Homes, Inc. has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Price Sales Ratio.

Below is today's data on M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO):



ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
28.11 1.15%
3-Month
28.06 0.99%
6-Month
29.18 5.00%
1-Year
31.63 13.83%
2-Year
32.13 15.62%
3-Year
33.75 21.44%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
10.82% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
36
1-M Forecast Return
1.15%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
99
12-M Return
52.11%
Momentum Rank(?)
87
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
71
5-Y Avg Annual Return
12.59%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
75
Volatility
29.93%
Volatility Rank(?)
52
Expected EPS Growth
23.24%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
59
Market Cap (billions)
0.68
Size Rank
57
Trailing P/E Ratio
11.07
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
90
Forward P/E Ratio
8.98
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
88
PEG Ratio
0.48
PEG Ratio Rank
60
Price/Sales
0.38
Price/Sales Rank(?)
88
Market/Book
1.01
Market/Book Rank(?)
79
Beta
1.23
Beta Rank
27
Alpha
0.23
Alpha Rank
83

 

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR M/I HOMES (MHO) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE

 

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ValuEngine Capital Management LLC is a Registered Investment Advisory (RIA) firm that trades client accounts using ValuEngine's award-winning stock research.
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