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April 21, 2016


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 47.2% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 15.42% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Seven sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

Indexing

--ValuEngine Rates and Ranks the S&P500

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today's bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the S&P 500. The companies listed below represent the top-ten BUY/STRONG BUY stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast target prices.

The components of have changed little since the last time we presented the top S&P picks in late March Our leader is still Akron's Finest., Goodyear Tire. Assurant retains its second-place spot. Valero, Traveler's, and LAM Research have moved up. Delta Airlines and Hartford Financial have declined. Our three newcomers are Tyson Foods, AT&T, and Southwest Airlines are back in our top-ten list.

Ticker
Company Name
Market Price
Valuation
Last 12-M Retrn
1-M Forecast Retn
1-Yr Forecast Retn
P/E Ratio
Sector Name
Last Month Top Ten
GT
GOODYEAR TIRE
32.3
-2.67%
17.48%
1.30%
15.71%
9.34
Auto-Tires-Trucks
GT
AIZ
ASSURANT INC
81.41
26.40%
32.91%
1.19%
14.27%
13.35
Finance
DAL
VLO
VALERO ENERGY
60.22
-8.48%
4.79%
1.14%
13.74%
7.37
Oils-Energy
AIZ
TRV
TRAVELERS COS
115.8
5.12%
9.10%
1.09%
13.15%
10.59
Finance
VLO
LRCX
LAM RESEARCH
82.67
-8.99%
14.84%
1.08%
12.92%
13.80
Computer and Technology
FSLR
TSN
TYSON FOODS  A
63.67
15.21%
65.42%
1.07%
12.89%
17.21
Consumer Staples
TRV
T
AT&T INC
38.72
3.01%
17.94%
1.05%
12.64%
14.08
Utilities
PSX
DAL
DELTA AIR LINES
46.6
-25.88%
1.90%
1.04%
12.50%
8.46
Transportation
HIG
LUV
SOUTHWEST AIR
47.05
-6.48%
10.52%
1.04%
12.43%
12.68
Transportation
EMN
HIG
HARTFORD FIN SV
46.56
13.88%
10.62%
1.03%
12.31%
12.00
Finance
LRCX

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD, old stocks that have moved up the list are in GREEN, old stocks that have declined in position are in RED, and stocks which have retained their position are in CAPS.

Below is today's data on one of our newcomers, Tyson Foods (TSN):

Tyson Foods, Inc. is the world's largest fully-integrated producer, processor and marketer of chicken and poultry-based food products. Tyson is a comprehensive supplier of value-added chicken products through food service, retail grocery stores, club stores and international distribution channels. Although its core business is chicken, in the United States Tyson is also the second largest maker of corn and flour tortillas under the Mexican Original brand and through its subsidiary Cobb Vantress, the top chicken breeding stock supplier.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on TYSON FOODS A for 2016-04-20. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that TYSON FOODS A has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Sharpe Ratio and Momentum.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on TSN from the link below.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
64.35 1.07%
3-Month
65.79 3.33%
6-Month
67.79 6.47%
1-Year
71.88 12.89%
2-Year
76.71 20.48%
3-Year
76.43 20.04%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
15.21% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
21
1-M Forecast Return
1.07%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
99
12-M Return
65.42%
Momentum Rank(?)
97
Sharpe Ratio
1.04
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
98
5-Y Avg Annual Return
24.90%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
96
Volatility
23.85%
Volatility Rank(?)
68
Expected EPS Growth
7.84%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
38
Market Cap (billions)
23.85
Size Rank
96
Trailing P/E Ratio
17.21
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
68
Forward P/E Ratio
15.96
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
49
PEG Ratio
2.20
PEG Ratio Rank
20
Price/Sales
0.60
Price/Sales Rank(?)
77
Market/Book
2.44
Market/Book Rank(?)
43
Beta
0.30
Beta Rank
74
Alpha
0.56
Alpha Rank
97

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR TYSON FOODS (TSN) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE


 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
52.8%
Stocks Overvalued
47.2%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
22.26%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
15.42%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.13%
11.00%
32.27%
20.63% overvalued
7.22%
28.68
-0.56%
0.85%
5.34%
10.28% overvalued
-2.55%
24.09
-1.08%
0.30%
7.26%
7.52% overvalued
-3.21%
23.18
0.49%
2.37%
7.25%
7.33% overvalued
-6.85%
17.63
0.56%
4.64%
8.69%
6.52% overvalued
-11.25%
20.00
1.18%
9.29%
11.97%
4.56% overvalued
-36.16%
23.12
0.12%
1.72%
7.72%
4.32% overvalued
-9.06%
22.61
0.01%
3.77%
18.60%
0.23% undervalued
-4.92%
21.11
-0.03%
2.49%
-0.85%
0.35% undervalued
-6.59%
20.45
0.38%
2.90%
1.17%
1.30% undervalued
-5.85%
16.06
0.21%
0.69%
6.08%
2.11% undervalued
-8.76%
27.32
0.04%
1.42%
3.38%
3.92% undervalued
-9.99%
23.53
0.64%
1.29%
1.69%
5.04% undervalued
-13.54%
22.64
0.46%
2.10%
3.82%
6.36% undervalued
-14.70%
12.49
0.30%
5.24%
6.27%
7.13% undervalued
-26.47%
13.76
0.77%
6.05%
-2.00%
8.39% undervalued
-20.57%
26.44

 

ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

 

 
 
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