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May 12, 2016


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 41.84% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 13.6% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Six sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

Indexing

--ValuEngine Rates and Ranks the S&P500

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today's bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the S&P 500. The companies listed below represent the top-ten BUY/STRONG BUY stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast target prices.

For the first time in a while, we have a good bit of turnover in our list. Traveler's returns to the top while Tyson Foods and Hartford Financial move up from the last time we presented the top S&P picks in April Assurant has declined to third position. Meanwhile, Goodyear, Valero, LAM Research, Delta Airlines, and Southwest Airlines have fallen out of the top-ten. second-place spot. Our newcomers this week are DR Horton, Chubb LTD, AFLAC, Broadcom LTD, and KLA-Tencor.

Ticker
Company Name
Market Price
Valuation
Last 12-M Retrn
1-M Forecast Retn
1-Yr Forecast Retn
P/E Ratio
Sector Name
Last Month Top Ten
TRV
TRAVELERS COS
111.97
-1.97%
9.54%
1.10%
13.24%
10.55
Finance
GT
DHI
D R HORTON INC
29.12
-5.26%
14.47%
1.07%
12.86%
13.22
Construction
AIZ
AIZ
ASSURANT INC
86.39
29.76%
33.13%
1.06%
12.71%
14.24
Finance
VLO
CB
CHUBB LTD
123.76
6.18%
14.30%
1.00%
12.06%
13.06
Finance
TRV
TSN
TYSON FOODS  A
68.48
13.18%
65.53%
1.00%
12.04%
17.59
Consumer Staples
LRCX
T
AT&T INC
39.18
2.21%
16.99%
0.99%
11.92%
14.06
Utilities
TSN
AFL
AFLAC INC
68.76
15.60%
7.62%
0.95%
11.34%
10.74
Finance
T
HIG
HARTFORD FIN SV
44.26
8.60%
6.39%
0.91%
10.87%
11.75
Finance
DAL
AVGO
BROADCOM LTD
143.85
-9.51%
17.13%
0.88%
10.59%
16.71
Computer and Technology
LUV
KLAC
KLA-TENCOR CORP
69.7
-13.25%
16.93%
0.86%
10.33%
17.27
Computer and Technology
HIG

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD, old stocks that have moved up the list are in GREEN, old stocks that have declined in position are in RED, and stocks which have retained their position are in CAPS.

Below is today's data on one of our newcomers, KLA-Tencor (KLAC):

KLA-Tencor Corporation is one of the world's leading suppliers of process control and yield management solutions for the semiconductor and related microelectronics industries. Its comprehensive portfolio of products, software, analysis, services and expertise is designed to help integrated circuit manufacturers manage yield throughout the entire wafer fabrication process.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on KLA-TENCOR CORP for 2016-05-11. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that KLA-TENCOR CORP has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Momentum.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on TSN from the link below.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
70.30 0.86%
3-Month
70.11 0.59%
6-Month
69.88 0.26%
1-Year
76.90 10.33%
2-Year
65.51 -6.01%
3-Year
51.97 -25.43%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
13.25% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
67
1-M Forecast Return
0.86%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
95
12-M Return
16.93%
Momentum Rank(?)
85
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
80
5-Y Avg Annual Return
9.31%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
81
Volatility
26.44%
Volatility Rank(?)
64
Expected EPS Growth
31.79%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
69
Market Cap (billions)
11.34
Size Rank
92
Trailing P/E Ratio
17.27
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
66
Forward P/E Ratio
13.10
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
64
PEG Ratio
0.54
PEG Ratio Rank
59
Price/Sales
4.02
Price/Sales Rank(?)
22
Market/Book
83.53
Market/Book Rank(?)
2
Beta
1.41
Beta Rank
25
Alpha
0.19
Alpha Rank
86

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR KLA-TENCOR (KLAC) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE


 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
58.16%
Stocks Overvalued
41.84%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
25.4%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
13.6%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
-0.31%
-0.10%
6.74%
8.45% overvalued
-0.43%
23.51
-0.73%
-0.20%
5.58%
8.02% overvalued
-0.82%
24.06
0.62%
-3.78%
28.76%
7.80% overvalued
10.52%
28.71
-0.40%
-1.39%
5.58%
4.20% overvalued
-11.58%
20.12
-0.63%
-1.27%
3.48%
3.30% overvalued
-8.36%
17.14
-0.02%
0.02%
-2.57%
0.78% overvalued
-8.46%
18.63
0.63%
-6.02%
8.48%
1.53% undervalued
-37.61%
21.64
-0.49%
-0.74%
17.00%
2.16% undervalued
-5.85%
20.66
-0.49%
-0.57%
0.65%
3.09% undervalued
-5.93%
15.78
-0.80%
-0.04%
8.29%
4.44% undervalued
-9.12%
22.32
-1.09%
-0.84%
1.17%
5.16% undervalued
-10.75%
22.02
-0.68%
-2.03%
3.64%
5.43% undervalued
-10.02%
26.06
-1.78%
-3.28%
-1.99%
9.10% undervalued
-17.44%
11.57
-1.40%
-3.37%
-6.50%
10.65% undervalued
-21.61%
26.22
-0.63%
-3.29%
1.39%
11.67% undervalued
-28.97%
13.70
-2.52%
-2.93%
-3.17%
13.58% undervalued
-16.43%
21.70

 

ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

 

 
 
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