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June 23, 2016


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 43.24% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 14.84% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Six sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

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LUV Rules (Still)

--ValuEngine: Southwest Airlines Remains Top S&P500 Stock

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today's bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the S&P 500. The companies listed below represent the top-ten BUY/STRONG BUY stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast target prices.

The last time we looked at the S&P 500 was June 2nd. Since then, we have had a 40% turnover in our list. Traveler's has declined yet again as newcomer Michael Kors (KORS) debuts in the number two position. Chubb Limited (CB) has moved up one spot. Tyson (TSN), DR Horton (DHI), and Global Payments (GPN) have also declined. Other newcomers also include KLA-Tencor (KLAC), Aflac (AFL), and Verizon (VZ). Southwest Airlines (LUV) retains its number one spot.

Ticker
Company Name
Market Price
Valuation
Last 12-M Retrn
1-M Forecast Retn
1-Yr Forecast Retn
P/E Ratio
Sector Name
June 2, 2016
LUV
SOUTHWEST AIR
40.26
-18.08%
15.72%
1.37%
16.50%
10.35
Transportation
LUV
KORS
MICHAEL KORS
50.8
-21.49%
7.31%
1.15%
13.89%
11.64
Consumer Discretionary
TRV
TRV
TRAVELERS COS
111.83
-1.27%
11.79%
1.12%
13.49%
10.66
Finance
TSN
TSN
TYSON FOODS  A
62.68
0.97%
44.99%
1.11%
13.32%
15.60
Consumer Staples
DHI
CB
CHUBB LTD
125.54
7.55%
18.29%
1.01%
12.13%
13.20
Finance
DAL
DHI
D R HORTON INC
30.79
-1.87%
11.64%
0.95%
11.45%
13.87
Construction
CB
KLAC
KLA-TENCOR CORP
74.3
-2.38%
27.64%
0.94%
11.28%
17.76
Computer and Technology
GPN
AFL
AFLAC INC
70.84
17.90%
12.75%
0.94%
11.27%
10.97
Finance
T
VZ
VERIZON COMM
54.03
4.95%
13.68%
0.94%
11.26%
13.59
Utilities
UNM
GPN
GLOBAL PAYMENTS
74.26
-45.35%
38.56%
0.94%
11.25%
25.26
Business Services
FSLR

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD, old stocks that have moved up the list are in GREEN, old stocks that have declined in position are in RED, and stocks which have retained their position are in CAPS.

Below is today's data on our SP500 leader, Southwest Airlines (LUV):

Southwest Airlines is a major domestic airline that provides primarily shorthaul, high-frequency, point-to-point, low-fare service. Southwest operates over Boeing 737 aircraft in numerous cities. Southwest has the lowest operating cost structure in the domestic airline industry and consistently offers the lowest and simplest fares. Southwest also has one of the best overall Customer Service records.


VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on SOUTHWEST AIR for 2016-06-22. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that SOUTHWEST AIR has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Sharpe Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on LUV from the link below.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
40.81 1.37%
3-Month
41.12 2.13%
6-Month
40.90 1.58%
1-Year
46.90 16.50%
2-Year
38.54 -4.27%
3-Year
29.02 -27.93%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
18.08% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
73
1-M Forecast Return
1.37%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
100
12-M Return
15.72%
Momentum Rank(?)
84
Sharpe Ratio
0.92
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
96
5-Y Avg Annual Return
25.57%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
96
Volatility
27.81%
Volatility Rank(?)
62
Expected EPS Growth
8.23%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
39
Market Cap (billions)
27.33
Size Rank
96
Trailing P/E Ratio
10.35
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
89
Forward P/E Ratio
9.56
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
83
PEG Ratio
1.26
PEG Ratio Rank
36
Price/Sales
1.35
Price/Sales Rank(?)
56
Market/Book
4.19
Market/Book Rank(?)
28
Beta
1.02
Beta Rank
44
Alpha
0.14
Alpha Rank
83

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR SOUTHWEST (LUV) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE


 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
56.76%
Stocks Overvalued
43.24%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
25.04%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
14.84%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
-0.10%
1.01%
6.03%
9.57% overvalued
2.23%
23.71
-0.48%
3.52%
33.40%
9.16% overvalued
20.13%
28.65
-0.15%
1.11%
7.19%
6.78% overvalued
2.68%
23.39
-0.67%
1.78%
12.81%
5.17% overvalued
-30.00%
22.57
0.03%
-0.21%
4.25%
3.18% overvalued
-8.86%
17.93
-0.19%
0.13%
5.72%
2.13% overvalued
-9.92%
21.74
-0.27%
-1.99%
-3.78%
0.32% undervalued
-5.08%
18.85
-0.77%
-0.52%
5.24%
1.42% undervalued
-9.68%
27.78
0.31%
-0.64%
8.19%
2.89% undervalued
-10.28%
22.81
-0.26%
-0.49%
2.37%
3.13% undervalued
-12.98%
22.35
-0.11%
-1.22%
1.15%
3.77% undervalued
-6.05%
15.80
-0.22%
-1.14%
18.72%
4.76% undervalued
-6.12%
20.71
-0.30%
-1.62%
0.67%
7.75% undervalued
-27.65%
13.31
-0.69%
-1.95%
-2.12%
9.11% undervalued
-18.18%
11.88
-0.36%
-1.70%
-7.64%
9.80% undervalued
-25.60%
26.57
-0.16%
-0.11%
-3.79%
11.25% undervalued
-14.81%
22.14

 

ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

 

 
 
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