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ValuEngine Weekly Newsletter December 30, 2016

 

 

 

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December 30, 2016


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VALUATION WARNING: Overvalued stocks now make up 65.54% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 33.52% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Fifteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

Editor's Note: Starting Wednesday, December 21st, we will be on a limited publication schedule. We will resume our normal full publication schedule on Tuesday, January 3rd.

VALUENGINE WISHES OUR CLIENTS AND READERS ALL THE BEST FOR A HAPPY, PROSPEROUS, AND SUCCESSFUL NEW YEAR

ValuEngine Index Overview

Index
Week Open
Friday AM
Change
% Change
YTD
DJIA
19943.46
19819.78
-123.68
-0.62%
13.74%
NASDAQ
5470.76
5432.09
-38.67
-0.71%
8.48%
RUSSELL 2000
1371.59
1363.18
-8.41
-0.61%
20.01%
S&P 500
2266.23
2249.26
-16.97
-0.75%
10.05%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
34.46%
Stocks Overvalued
65.54%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
15.66%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
33.52%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
0.53%
2.61%
13.77%
22.16% overvalued
11.41%
20.08
Industrial Products
0.02%
2.46%
27.80%
20.79% overvalued
21.55%
23.82
Oils-Energy
-0.07%
4.14%
32.84%
20.32% overvalued
25.60%
25.97
Finance
0.13%
3.05%
17.86%
17.48% overvalued
12.44%
18.22
Basic Materials
1.00%
1.37%
54.23%
16.05% overvalued
66.94%
27.90
Transportation
-0.00%
1.71%
19.03%
15.66% overvalued
7.84%
19.38
Aerospace
0.49%
-0.00%
12.75%
15.52% overvalued
13.39%
19.74
Business Services
0.40%
2.24%
23.73%
12.11% overvalued
6.64%
24.11
Computer and Technology
0.13%
2.15%
22.88%
11.97% overvalued
9.58%
29.68
Construction
0.01%
1.75%
36.86%
11.61% overvalued
21.34%
20.50
Utilities
0.39%
3.03%
16.26%
10.24% overvalued
16.39%
22.19
Auto-Tires-Trucks
-0.11%
0.69%
11.59%
7.80% overvalued
20.80%
14.73
Consumer Staples
0.45%
3.01%
10.67%
6.69% overvalued
8.72%
24.19
Consumer Discretionary
0.16%
2.26%
12.38%
5.92% overvalued
14.10%
23.55
Retail-Wholesale
-0.06%
0.03%
3.50%
5.91% overvalued
5.13%
23.33
Medical
-0.05%
-0.36%
-0.73%
5.23% undervalued
-12.26%
27.83


Sector Talk--Oils/Energy

  Below, we present the latest data on Oils/Energy stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Top-Five Oils/Energy Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
UPLMQ
ULTRA PETRO CP
7.07
N/A
172.97%
GMLP
GOLAR LNG PARTN
23.74
1.73%
80.81%
NGL
NGL ENERGY PART
20.95
-13.82%
98.02%
SXCP
SUNCOKE ENERGY
19.75
29.94%
189.59%
ARLP
ALLIANCE RES
21.95
21.37%
64.17%

Top-Five Oils/Energy Stocks--Momentum

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
SD
SANDRIDGE ENRGY
23.67
N/A
12050.92%
ARCH
ARCH COAL INC
78.13
N/A
8373.97%
BAS
BASIC EGY SVCS
35.39
N/A
1120.34%
REN
RESOLUTE ENERGY
40.31
-64.59%
958.98%
CWEI
WILLIAMS(C)ENGY
122.87
300.00%
319.21%

Top-Five Oils/Energy Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
NGL
NGL ENERGY PART
20.95
-13.82%
98.02%
BWP
BOARDWALK PIPLN
17.57
-20.36%
41.35%
GMLP
GOLAR LNG PARTN
23.74
1.73%
80.81%
DPM
DCP MIDSTREAM
38.36
-6.19%
59.70%
OKS
ONEOK PARTNERS
43.74
-0.60%
53.91%

Top-Five Oils/Energy Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
RIG
TRANSOCEAN LTD
14.71
300.00%
15.74%
ATW
ATWOOD OCEANICS
13.07
300.00%
25.31%
CWEI
WILLIAMS(C)ENGY
122.87
300.00%
319.21%
WG
WILLBROS GROUP
3.12
300.00%
15.56%
PACD
PACIFIC DRILLNG
4.13
300.00%
-54.11%
 

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT) is the world's largest retailer. They are engaged in the operation of mass merchandising stores, which serve their customers primarily through the operation of three segments, which are the Wal-Mart Stores segment, the SAM'S Club segment and the International segment.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on WAL-MART STORES for 2016-12-29. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that WAL-MART STORES has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Price Sales Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT) from the link below.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Wal-Mart (WMT) HERE.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
69.57 0.45%
3-Month
70.07 1.17%
6-Month
70.57 1.89%
1-Year
73.02 5.42%
2-Year
74.06 6.94%
3-Year
76.12 9.90%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
9.48% overvalued Valuation Rank(?)
51
1-M Forecast Return
0.45% 1-M Forecast Return Rank
82
12-M Return
12.42% Momentum Rank(?)
57
Sharpe Ratio
0.22 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
66
5-Y Avg Annual Return
3.58% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
61
Volatility
16.08% Volatility Rank(?)
79
Expected EPS Growth
-2.62% EPS Growth Rank(?)
18
Market Cap (billions)
223.24 Size Rank
100
Trailing P/E Ratio
15.54 Trailing P/E Rank(?)
77
Forward P/E Ratio
15.96 Forward P/E Ratio Rank
56
PEG Ratio
n/a PEG Ratio Rank
n/a
Price/Sales
0.46 Price/Sales Rank(?)
85
Market/Book
3.56 Market/Book Rank(?)
34
Beta
0.12 Beta Rank
76
Alpha
0.17 Alpha Rank
78

 

ValuEngineCapital Money Management Services

We are pleased to announce that ValuEngine Capital has begun trading for our clients. ValuEngine Capital, a registered investment advisory firm, offers our clients investment-management services based on industry-leading ValuEngine research. ValuEngine Capital melds the cutting-edge financial theory of ValuEngine's award-winning quantitative independent research with the best real-world Wall St. practices. ValuEngine Capital offers refined investment portfolios for investors of all risk-reward profiles.

ValuEngine Capital is offering several investment strategies to clients, including the the ValuEngine View Strategy and the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy

Professional Portfolio Management Services

ValuEngine View Strategy: The ValuEngine View Strategy is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team.
  • It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value.
  • A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. The ValuEngine View portfolio is constructed by integrating both our Aggressive Growth—based on the Valuation Model--and Diversified Growth—based on the Forecast Model-- Portfolio Strategies.
  • The ValuEngine View Strategy  is constructed by integrating this model along with some basic rules for market capitalization and industry diversification. The portfolio has 15 stocks and is rebalanced once each month.

Strategies To Suit All Investor Types

The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy: The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy invests in a variety of asset classes in order to provide investors with stable returns and a high- dividend yield coupled with significantly lower risk than single-asset products. 

  • The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy may include ETFs focused on commodities, stock indices, REITS, bonds, emerging markets, and other suitable products.
  • By reaping the benefits of diversification, the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy seeks to remain resilient during times of market volatility.
  • The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy is designed for investors seeking management for their IRA and other retirement funds as well as those whose risk-profile is not suitable for our other strategies.

For more information, please contact us by email at info@ValuEngineCapital.com
or by phone at (407) 308-5686.

Or, sign up online with our easy-to-use portal HERE:





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