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ValuEngine Weekly Newsletter July 8, 2016

 

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July 8, 2016


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VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 34.55% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 11.85% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Three sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

ValuEngine Index Overview

Index
Week Open
Friday AM
Change
% Change
YTD
DJIA
17904.45
18126.1
221.65
1.24%
4.02%
NASDAQ
4837.06
4950.37
113.31
2.34%
-1.14%
RUSSELL 2000
1155.46
1176.51
21.05
1.82%
3.58%
S&P 500
2095.05
2126.94
31.89
1.52%
4.06%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
65.45%
Stocks Overvalued
34.55%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
28.86%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
11.85%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Basic Materials
-0.51%
1.42%
40.79%
11.03% overvalued
36.43%
29.91
Consumer Staples
0.28%
0.19%
8.10%
4.55% overvalued
4.72%
24.08
Utilities
-0.37%
0.16%
10.74%
3.95% overvalued
7.95%
23.20
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
-0.19%
-1.23%
2.72%
0.79% undervalued
-6.73%
18.34
Oils-Energy
-0.78%
-1.96%
13.70%
3.61% undervalued
-26.96%
23.53
Industrial Products
0.10%
-0.82%
4.59%
4.90% undervalued
-6.70%
21.35
Business Services
0.08%
-0.41%
10.53%
5.50% undervalued
-9.89%
22.67
Construction
0.13%
0.58%
21.32%
6.48% undervalued
-0.95%
20.76
Aerospace
-0.22%
-0.79%
-5.42%
6.60% undervalued
-2.68%
19.12
Finance
0.07%
-0.81%
0.74%
7.83% undervalued
-4.49%
15.81
Computer and Technology
0.36%
-0.96%
4.51%
8.14% undervalued
-6.30%
28.38
Consumer Discretionary
0.37%
0.54%
3.22%
8.77% undervalued
-9.55%
21.07
Medical
0.42%
1.55%
-2.58%
13.14% undervalued
-22.97%
27.91
Retail-Wholesale
0.13%
0.07%
-3.27%
13.25% undervalued
-14.91%
21.31
Transportation
-0.25%
-0.57%
0.51%
16.35% undervalued
-27.64%
13.38
Auto-Tires-Trucks
0.11%
-1.50%
-6.80%
22.94% undervalued
-16.49%
11.24


Sector Talk--Health Care

  Below, we present the latest data on Health Care stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service    Top five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. We have been following the sector closely of late because it has been correlated so tightly to overall equity price moves.

Top-Five Health Care Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
FPRX
FIVEPRIME THERA
43.92
-4.14%
69.64%
HMNY
HELIOS&MATHESON
8.3
N/A
280.73%
TTNP
TITAN PHARMA
5.33
-10.76%
36.48%
SCLN
SCICLONE PHARMA
13.21
N/A
18.26%
AHS
AMN HLTHCR SVCS
41.35
-3.03%
37.88%

Top-Five Health Care Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
FPRX
FIVEPRIME THERA
43.92
-4.14%
69.64%
HMNY
HELIOS&MATHESON
8.3
N/A
280.73%
TTNP
TITAN PHARMA
5.33
-10.76%
36.48%
SCLN
SCICLONE PHARMA
13.21
N/A
18.26%
AHS
AMN HLTHCR SVCS
41.35
-3.03%
37.88%

Top-Five Health Care Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
FPRX
FIVEPRIME THERA
43.92
-4.14%
69.64%
EW
EDWARDS LIFESCI
103.75
-29.43%
40.70%
AMGN
AMGEN INC
156.59
-14.01%
0.77%
ZBH
ZIMMER BIOMET
122.02
-5.34%
11.16%
ICLR
ICON PLC
70.97
-15.50%
5.72%

Top-Five Health Care Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
AEZS
AETERNA ZENTARS
3.33
300.00%
-86.76%
PDLI
PDL BIOPHARMA
3.18
214.59%
-48.46%
IONS
IONIS PHARMACT
25.14
206.31%
-54.59%
TSRO
TESARO INC
91.96
130.95%
58.31%
CHRS
COHERUS BIOSC
16.43
130.82%
-44.29%
 

Free Download for Readers

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Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and electric vehicle powertrain components. The Company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on TESLA MOTORS for 2016-07-07. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that TESLA MOTORS has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Tesla Motors HERE.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
215.18 -0.35%
3-Month
209.81 -2.84%
6-Month
200.21 -7.28%
1-Year
206.83 -4.22%
2-Year
138.42 -35.90%
3-Year
96.03 -55.53%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
72.43% undervalued Valuation Rank(?)
97
1-M Forecast Return
-0.35% 1-M Forecast Return Rank
24
12-M Return
-19.39% Momentum Rank(?)
36
Sharpe Ratio
0.77 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
93
5-Y Avg Annual Return
39.72% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
98
Volatility
51.83% Volatility Rank(?)
35
Expected EPS Growth
147.17% EPS Growth Rank(?)
91
Market Cap (billions)
27.07 Size Rank
96
Trailing P/E Ratio
n/a Trailing P/E Rank(?)
28
Forward P/E Ratio
103.82 Forward P/E Ratio Rank
3
PEG Ratio
0.33 PEG Ratio Rank
67
Price/Sales
6.37 Price/Sales Rank(?)
15
Market/Book
27.90 Market/Book Rank(?)
4
Beta
1.24 Beta Rank
32
Alpha
-0.26 Alpha Rank
28
 
 
 

ValuEngineCapital Money Management Services

We are pleased to announce that ValuEngine Capital has begun trading for our clients. ValuEngine Capital, a registered investment advisory firm, offers our clients investment-management services based on industry-leading ValuEngine research. ValuEngine Capital melds the cutting-edge financial theory of ValuEngine's award-winning quantitative independent research with the best real-world Wall St. practices. ValuEngine Capital offers refined investment portfolios for investors of all risk-reward profiles.

ValuEngine Capital is offering three investment strategies to clients, the ValuEngine View Strategy, the ValuEngine Market Neutral Strategy, and the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy.

ValuEngine View Strategy: The ValuEngine View Strategy is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. The ValuEngine View portfolio is constructed by integrating both our Aggressive Growth—based on the Valuation Model--and Diversified Growth—based on the Forecast Model-- Portfolio Strategies. The ValuEngine View Strategy is constructed by integrating this model along with some basic rules for market capitalization and industry diversification. The portfolio has 15 stocks and is rebalanced once each month.

Professional Portfolio Management Services

ValuEngine Market Neutral Strategy: The ValuEngine Market Neutral Strategy is the product of ValuEngine's Forecast Model. This model was developed by a team of PhD's and is based on the cutting edge economic theories of Wall Street professionals and Ivy League academics. We carefully examine dozens of fundamental and technical factors for over 8,000 individual stocks, synthesize the data, and then come up with a sector-diverse list of our best and worst forecast 1-month return stocks. Short and long-term historic factors in the VE Forecast model's calculation include past-valuation levels of the stock and its recent price-momentum factor relative to other stocks. The ValuEngine Market Neutral Strategy utilizes Forecast Model outputs along with market capitalization, price, and sector diversification rules to construct a monthly portfolio made up of 16 stocks for both the long and short sides.

Strategies To Suit All Investor Types

The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy: The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy invests in a variety of asset classes in order to provide investors with stable returns and a high- dividend yield coupled with significantly lower risk than single-asset products. The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy may include ETFs focused on commodities, stock indices, REITS, bonds, emerging markets, and other suitable products. By reaping the benefits of diversification, the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy seeks to remain resilient during times of market volatility. The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy is designed for investors seeking management for their IRA and other retirement funds as well as those whose risk-profile is not suitable for our other strategies.

For more information, please contact us by email at info@ValuEngineCapital.com or by phone at (407) 308-5686.

ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day.

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