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ValuEngine Weekly Newsletter December 9, 2016

 

 

 

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December 9, 2016


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VALUATION WARNING: Overvalued stocks now make up 67.28% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 35.91% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Fifteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

ValuEngine Index Overview

Index
Week Open
Friday PM
Change
% Change
YTD
DJIA
19244.35
19696.85
452.5
2.35%
13.04%
NASDAQ
5283.58
5437.41
153.83
2.91%
8.59%
RUSSELL 2000
1314.98
1385.62
70.64
5.37%
21.99%
S&P 500
2200.65
2254.71
54.06
2.46%
10.31%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
32.72%
Stocks Overvalued
67.28%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
14.92%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
35.91%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Industrial Products
0.74%
3.61%
28.94%
25.33% overvalued
23.58%
24.13
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
0.58%
4.03%
15.32%
22.31% overvalued
12.52%
19.54
Aerospace
-0.22%
1.25%
14.43%
19.21% overvalued
13.93%
20.29
Basic Materials
0.49%
4.28%
60.61%
18.85% overvalued
68.91%
28.01
Oils-Energy
0.66%
3.47%
31.83%
18.73% overvalued
23.37%
25.44
Construction
1.09%
4.26%
40.12%
17.56% overvalued
23.17%
20.94
Finance
0.91%
3.50%
18.14%
17.32% overvalued
12.78%
18.39
Transportation
0.88%
4.24%
21.58%
16.68% overvalued
10.36%
19.09
Business Services
1.34%
2.79%
24.59%
13.19% overvalued
4.51%
24.15
Computer and Technology
0.89%
2.13%
22.73%
12.91% overvalued
10.92%
30.22
Retail-Wholesale
0.96%
3.18%
5.67%
11.23% overvalued
6.64%
24.13
Auto-Tires-Trucks
0.27%
4.00%
14.95%
10.55% overvalued
20.58%
15.10
Consumer Discretionary
0.75%
2.66%
12.94%
9.99% overvalued
11.79%
24.11
Utilities
1.05%
2.79%
16.17%
8.68% overvalued
18.29%
22.33
Consumer Staples
0.65%
1.87%
9.50%
4.56% overvalued
5.52%
24.21
Medical
0.50%
0.49%
-0.80%
3.99% undervalued
-9.50%
27.55


Sector Talk--Utilities

  Below, we present the latest data on Utilities stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
SBS
SABESP -ADR
8.23
-11.23%
70.39%
ELP
COPEL-ADR PR B
8.48
-40.74%
23.08%
NRG
NRG ENERGY INC
12.46
-49.21%
23.49%
BIP
BROOKFIELD INFR
32.68
-14.01%
28.86%
EBR
ELETROBRAS-ADR
6.74
N/A
384.89%

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
SBS
SABESP -ADR
8.23
-11.23%
70.39%
ELP
COPEL-ADR PR B
8.48
-40.74%
23.08%
NRG
NRG ENERGY INC
12.46
-49.21%
23.49%
BIP
BROOKFIELD INFR
32.68
-14.01%
28.86%
EBR
ELETROBRAS-ADR
6.74
N/A
384.89%

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
SBS
SABESP -ADR
8.23
-11.23%
70.39%
NRG
NRG ENERGY INC
12.46
-49.21%
23.49%
ELP
COPEL-ADR PR B
8.48
-40.74%
23.08%
BIP
BROOKFIELD INFR
32.68
-14.01%
28.86%
EXC
EXELON CORP
34.2
2.51%
28.86%

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
S
SPRINT CORP
8.74
80.36%
131.83%
MYRG
MYR GROUP INC
39.41
78.58%
108.74%
VG
VONAGE HOLDINGS
6.99
73.96%
12.02%
CNSL
CONSOL COMM IL
27.63
44.22%
26.34%
WR
WESTAR ENERGY
57.25
38.14%
38.29%
 

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Apple Inc. (AAPL) is engaged in designing, manufacturing and marketing mobile communication and media devices, personal computers, and portable digital music players. The Company's products and services include iPhone, iPad, Mac, iPod, Apple TV, a portfolio of consumer and professional software applications, the iOS and Mac OS X operating systems, iCloud, and a range of accessory, service and support offerings. It sells its products worldwide through its online stores, its retail stores, its direct sales force, third-party wholesalers, and resellers. Apple Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California. .

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on Apple Inc. for 2016-12-08. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Apple Inc. has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Apple Inc. (AAPL) from the link below.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Apple (AAPL) HERE.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
112.26 0.13%
3-Month
112.49 0.33%
6-Month
111.74 -0.33%
1-Year
113.80 1.50%
2-Year
119.66 6.72%
3-Year
114.17 1.83%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
1.96% overvalued Valuation Rank(?)
65
1-M Forecast Return
0.13% 1-M Forecast Return Rank
60
12-M Return
-5.17% Momentum Rank(?)
30
Sharpe Ratio
0.55 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
81
5-Y Avg Annual Return
14.10% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
82
Volatility
25.50% Volatility Rank(?)
61
Expected EPS Growth
8.95% EPS Growth Rank(?)
39
Market Cap (billions)
653.07 Size Rank
100
Trailing P/E Ratio
13.62 Trailing P/E Rank(?)
83
Forward P/E Ratio
12.50 Forward P/E Ratio Rank
74
PEG Ratio
1.52 PEG Ratio Rank
33
Price/Sales
3.03 Price/Sales Rank(?)
35
Market/Book
5.46 Market/Book Rank(?)
24
Beta
1.26 Beta Rank
28
Alpha
-0.14 Alpha Rank
26
 
 
 

 

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ValuEngine Capital is offering several investment strategies to clients, including the the ValuEngine View Strategy and the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy

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  • It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value.
  • A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. The ValuEngine View portfolio is constructed by integrating both our Aggressive Growth—based on the Valuation Model--and Diversified Growth—based on the Forecast Model-- Portfolio Strategies.
  • The ValuEngine View Strategy  is constructed by integrating this model along with some basic rules for market capitalization and industry diversification. The portfolio has 15 stocks and is rebalanced once each month.

Strategies To Suit All Investor Types

The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy: The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy invests in a variety of asset classes in order to provide investors with stable returns and a high- dividend yield coupled with significantly lower risk than single-asset products. 

  • The ValuEngine Diversified Strategy may include ETFs focused on commodities, stock indices, REITS, bonds, emerging markets, and other suitable products.
  • By reaping the benefits of diversification, the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy seeks to remain resilient during times of market volatility.
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For more information, please contact us by email at info@ValuEngineCapital.com
or by phone at (407) 308-5686.

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