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ValuEngine Weekly Newsletter December 16, 2016

 

 

 

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December 16, 2016


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VALUATION WARNING: Overvalued stocks now make up 65.89% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 34.16% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Fifteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

ValuEngine Index Overview

Index
Week Open
Friday AM
Change
% Change
YTD
DJIA
19770.2
19866.41
96.21
0.49%
14.01%
NASDAQ
5428.22
5445.45
17.23
0.32%
8.75%
RUSSELL 2000
1387.78
1377.59
-10.19
-0.73%
21.28%
S&P 500
2258.83
2258.76
-0.07
0.00%
10.51%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
34.11%
Stocks Overvalued
65.89%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
15.73%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
34.16%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Industrial Products
0.14%
2.27%
27.29%
22.08% overvalued
24.11%
25.15
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
-0.52%
2.40%
13.37%
21.01% overvalued
14.51%
19.23
Oils-Energy
0.05%
3.06%
30.49%
19.21% overvalued
28.84%
25.31
Transportation
1.29%
2.88%
21.42%
17.68% overvalued
7.47%
18.76
Finance
0.18%
2.56%
17.16%
16.67% overvalued
13.97%
18.13
Aerospace
0.19%
-0.79%
12.09%
16.18% overvalued
12.76%
19.66
Construction
-0.03%
1.90%
36.83%
14.00% overvalued
24.22%
20.35
Basic Materials
-0.79%
0.68%
53.60%
13.44% overvalued
64.67%
26.50
Computer and Technology
0.81%
1.99%
22.63%
12.87% overvalued
11.27%
29.82
Business Services
0.48%
2.17%
26.14%
12.74% overvalued
5.98%
23.99
Retail-Wholesale
0.18%
1.74%
4.98%
10.37% overvalued
7.60%
23.78
Utilities
0.18%
1.86%
15.10%
9.41% overvalued
19.89%
21.89
Auto-Tires-Trucks
0.43%
2.30%
13.04%
8.90% overvalued
24.16%
14.84
Consumer Discretionary
-0.25%
2.00%
12.44%
7.46% overvalued
16.88%
24.07
Consumer Staples
0.17%
1.88%
9.67%
6.15% overvalued
9.23%
24.00
Medical
0.52%
0.09%
0.66%
3.71% undervalued
-7.32%
27.91


Sector Talk--Aerospace

  Below, we present the latest data on Aerospace stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Top-Five Aerospace Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
WAIR
WESCO AIRCRAFT
15.35
-2.39%
25.92%
SPR
SPIRIT AEROSYS
59.08
7.38%
22.24%
BEAV
B/E AEROSPACE
59.93
7.57%
43.82%
HII
HUNTINGTON INGL
179.69
23.34%
41.53%
HEI.A
HEICO CORP-A
63.9
N/A
46.16%

Top-Five Aerospace Stocks--Momentum

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
ARTX
AROTECH CORP
3.8
44.20%
107.65%
KTOS
KRATOS DEFENSE
7.18
56.62%
82.70%
AIR
AAR CORP
37.15
62.97%
64.02%
CW
CURTISS WRIGHT
102.4
23.27%
53.22%
HEI
HEICO CORP
76.55
16.85%
54.30%

Top-Five Aerospace Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
SPR
SPIRIT AEROSYS
59.08
7.38%
22.24%
WAIR
WESCO AIRCRAFT
15.35
-2.39%
25.92%
BEAV
B/E AEROSPACE
59.93
7.57%
43.82%
HII
HUNTINGTON INGL
179.69
23.34%
41.53%
TGI
TRIUMPH GRP INC
27.05
-41.22%
-21.80%

Top-Five Aerospace Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
Name
Mkt Price
Valuation (%)
Last 12-M Return (%)
AIR
AAR CORP
37.15
62.97%
64.02%
KTOS
KRATOS DEFENSE
7.18
56.62%
82.70%
LLL
L-3 COMM HLDGS
158.08
49.50%
32.31%
ARTX
AROTECH CORP
3.8
44.20%
107.65%
LMT
LOCKHEED MARTIN
250.65
40.88%
16.67%
 

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Chipotle (CMG) offers a focused menu of burritos, tacos, burrito bols and salads made from fresh, high-quality raw ingredients, prepared using classic cooking methods and served in a distinctive atmosphere. Through its vision of Food with Integrity, Chipotle is seeking better food not only from a variety of fresh ingredients, but ingredients that are sustainably grown and naturally raised with respect for the animals, the land, and the farmers who produce the food.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its SELL recommendation on Chipotle Mexican Grille for 2016-12-15. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Chipotle Mexican Grille has the probability to UNDERPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits UNATTRACTIVE Momentum and Book Market Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Chipotle (CMG) from the link below.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Chipotle (2007) HERE.


ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
379.41 -0.77%
3-Month
376.05 -1.65%
6-Month
370.40 -3.13%
1-Year
347.08 -9.22%
2-Year
396.34 3.66%
3-Year
414.18 8.32%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
11.00% overvalued Valuation Rank(?)
49
1-M Forecast Return
-0.77% 1-M Forecast Return Rank
11
12-M Return
-31.09% Momentum Rank(?)
14
Sharpe Ratio
0.13 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
61
5-Y Avg Annual Return
4.18% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
62
Volatility
31.69% Volatility Rank(?)
52
Expected EPS Growth
298.03% EPS Growth Rank(?)
95
Market Cap (billions)
11.86 Size Rank
91
Trailing P/E Ratio
174.06 Trailing P/E Rank(?)
33
Forward P/E Ratio
43.73 Forward P/E Ratio Rank
9
PEG Ratio
0.58 PEG Ratio Rank
57
Price/Sales
3.07 Price/Sales Rank(?)
34
Market/Book
8.36 Market/Book Rank(?)
16
Beta
0.62 Beta Rank
60
Alpha
-0.41 Alpha Rank
11
 
 
 

 

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