February 28, 2014

VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up almost 84% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 47% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. ALL sectors are again calculated to be overvalued by double digits.

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ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on NETFLIX INC for 2014-02-27. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that NETFLIX INC has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Momentum.

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Sector Talk--Retail/Wholesale

  Below, we present the latest data on Retail/Wholesale stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI).    Top five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

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Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Composite Score

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Most Overvalued

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VE Web Log (BLOG) Consolidates Content

We have added a blog to the VE Website. This new section consolidates all of our free content in one easily accessible location. Of special note is the work of our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier. Suttmeier, a prolific market analyst and commentator, writes for forbes, thestreet.com, and many other investor websites. Check out our new blog page for one-stop access to all of his work as well as other bulletins and analysis based on ValuEngine's award-winning stock valuation and forecast services.

Check out our new blog page HERE

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier

If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com 

Treasury Yields

10-Year--(2.646) My monthly value level is 3.208 with a daily pivot at 2.664 and weekly, quarterly and annual and semiannual risky levels at 2.538, 2.628, 2.263, 1.837 and 1.779.

Commodities and Forex

Comex Gold –($1330.8) My monthly value level is $1179 8 with daily and weekly pivots at $1336.7 and $1338.0 and quarterly and annual risky levels at $1385.0, $1710.6, $1747.4, $1818.8 and $1857.1.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($102.25) Weekly and quarterly value levels are $95.41 and $93.35 with daily, semiannual, monthly and annual risky levels at $104.65, $104.97, $107.11 and $107.52.

The Euro – (1.3709) Weekly, quarterly, annual and semiannual value levels are 1.3535, 1.3482, 1.3382, 1.2642 and 1.2216 with daily and monthly risky levels are 1.3758 and 1.3880.

Major Indices

Daily Dow: (16,273) Weekly and annual value levels are 15,766, 14,835 and 13,467 with monthly,
daily and semiannual pivots at 15,986, 16,188 and 16,245, the Dec. 31 all-time intraday high at
16,588.25 and quarterly and semiannual risky levels at 16,761 and 16,860.

S&P 500 – (1854.3) Weekly, semiannual and annual value levels are 1801.6, 1797.3, 1764.4, 1539.1
and 1442.1 with daily and monthly pivots at 1848.5 and 1832.9, the Feb. 24 all-time intraday high at
1858.71, and quarterly risky level at 1896.0.

NASDAQ – (4319) Weekly, semiannual and annual value levels are 4206, 3930, 3920, 3471 and 3063
with monthly and quarterly pivots at 4267 and 4274, a daily risky level at 4323, and the Feb. 27
multiyear intraday high at 4322.46.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX) – (3700) Weekly, semiannual and annual value levels are 3606, 3456, 3458,
3078 and 2669 with monthly and daily pivots at 3639 and 3693, the Feb. 27 multiyear intraday high at
3704.65 and quarterly risky level at 3714.

Dow Transports – (7316) Daily, semiannual, quarterly and annual value levels are 7242, 7245, 7086,
6249 and 5935 with a weekly pivot at 7300, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 7376 and 7412,
and the Jan. 23 all-time intraday high at 7591.43.

Russell 2000 – (1187.94) Weekly, semiannual and annual value levels are 1140.93, 1133.29, 1130.79,
966.72 and 879.39 with a quarterly pivot at 1180.35, the Feb. 26 all-time intraday high at 1188.06 and
daily and monthly risky levels at 1193.77 and 1191.18.

The SOX – (564.22) Weekly, quarterly, monthly, semiannual and annual value levels are 553.03,
536.98, 532.59, 490.52, 371.58 and 337.74 with semiannual and daily pivots at 548.36 and 565.85,
and the Feb. 26 multiyear intraday high at 568.24.

Dow Utilities: (515.95) Monthly, annual and quarterly value levels are 504.53, 504.74, 497.53 and
496.84 with daily, weekly and semiannual pivots at 519.86, 520.17 and 524.37 and annual risky level at
548.70.

Stock of the Day

  One of the more popular features of Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing for investors is his stock of the day.  In every issue, Suttmeier highlights one stock and provides VE data as well as his own proprietary technical data. 

Here is today's stock of the day from Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing Newsletter.

PetsMart (PETM) – ($66.62) PETSMART, INC. is a leading operator of superstores specializing in pet food, supplies and services in the United States.

Analysis – PetsMart has a buy rating according to ValuEngine and is 11.16% undervalued with fair value at $74.26 and a one-year price target is $72.12. The daily chart shows rising momentum with the stock above its 21-day simple moving average at $64.32 but below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $66.97 and $70.57. My annual value level is $63.78 with semiannual risky levels at $82.90 and $87.90.

Richard Suttmeier, Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine.com & Contributor to TheStreet.com
Richard Suttmeier has been a professional in the US Capital Markets since 1972 transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world. He earned a Bachelor of Industrial Engineering degree from Georgia Institute of Technology in 1966, and a Master of Science, Operations Research, Systems Analysis degree from Brooklyn Polytechnic University in 1970. Over the years Richard appeared many times in the financial media, on networks such as CNBC, CNN, CNNfn, New York 1, Bloomberg TV and radio, Fox Business, Business News Network in Canada, Wall Street Week with Fortune, Yahoo Finance Breakout, and the Bill Mazer Radio Show. In 2002, he anchored his own show on Yahoo Finance Vision called, "Traders' Club with Richard Suttmeier." Richard has been frequently quoted in USA Today, The NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Reuters, and The Dow Jones Newswires. Richard has made numerous speaking appearances in recent years to groups such as the Market Technicians Associations, the American Association of Individual Investors, Wells Fargo Advisors, the Executive Forum at the National Arts Club, and the Investors Roundtable of Wilmington NC.

Now YOU can take advantage of the same market and trading expertise as the financial media with Richard Suttmeier's ValuTrader Model Portfolio

 The ValuTrader Portfolio Newsletter is based on ValuEngine Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's proprietary market analytics. Suttmeier combines his technical analysis expertise with ValuEngine's proprietary valuation, forecast, and ratings data for more than 4000 equities trading on US markets to come up with a 20 stock portfolio tailored to current market conditions. With ValuTrader, subscribers access Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" strategy with a portfolio designed to function well in both up and down markets.

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With Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing, you get daily analysis of US Treasury Yields, Gold, Crude Oil, and Currency Exchange Rates--Dollar, Yen, Pound, and Euro--as well as key technical indicators for the major equity averages.

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